ECUADOR LIGA PRO
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Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt
Referee: Oswaldo Contreras, Ecuador

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.6%
2.06
BTTS Yes
50%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
2.05
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
84.6%
1.06
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Guayaquil City FC Win 38.2%
Draw 17.2%
LDU de Quito Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guayaquil City FC0.89
LDU de Quito1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WWDLW
28 GF / 33 GA
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WLDWL
40 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
14
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
8
3.35
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 29 matches
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 37 matches
Guayaquil City FC Statistic LDU de Quito
9 Wins 17
9 Draws 9
11 Losses 11
28 Goals For 40
33 Goals Against 29
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
14 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 14
3.35 Shots On Goal 3.41
8.58 Total Shots 13.24
2.96 Corners 5.09
53.3% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Guayaquil City FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward LDU de Quito. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guayaquil City FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and LDU de Quito in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Guayaquil City FC have collected 30 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 22:27 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Edinson Mero (8 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 38 points after 25 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a 24:20 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 1 times, LDU de Quito won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:28 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.8%)
Predicted formations: Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1 / LDU de Quito 4-3-3
H2H summary: Guayaquil City FC wins 1, draws 5, LDU de Quito wins 9
Last matches: Guayaquil City FC
22.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
3
2
W
15.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
2
2
D
10.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
0
0
D
02.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
1
2
L
27.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
23.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
19.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
11.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
08.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
2
4
L
23.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
19.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
21.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
1
4
L
Last matches: LDU de Quito
24.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
2
0
W
20.08.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
0
D
17.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
0
W
13.08.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
1
1
D
08.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
04.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
18.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
H2H: Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito
02.05.26
H2H
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
L
05.09.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
L
09.04.23
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
15.10.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
L
22.05.22
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
03.10.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
3
1
L
18.04.21
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
22.11.20
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
12.09.20
H2H
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
L
27.07.19
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
02.03.19
H2H
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
4
0
L
07.07.18
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
27.02.18
H2H
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
L
16.06.17
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
25.02.17
H2H
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
4
0
L
Last matches: Guayaquil City FC
15.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
2
2
D
10.08.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
0
0
D
27.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
19.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
1
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
31.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
2
4
L
19.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
2
1
W
23.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lig
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
1
1
D
05.02.26
Fri
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
H2H at home: Guayaquil City FC
09.04.23
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
22.05.22
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
18.04.21
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
22.11.20
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
27.07.19
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
07.07.18
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
16.06.17
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
Last matches: LDU de Quito
17.08.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
1
0
W
13.08.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
1
1
D
27.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
15.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
1
W
H2H away: LDU de Quito
09.04.23
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
2
W
22.05.22
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
18.04.21
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
22.11.20
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
27.07.19
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
07.07.18
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
16.06.17
H2H
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.06
Draw 3.18
Home 3.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 2.16
Home 4.27
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.40
Over 2.0 1.53
Over 2.25 1.79
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 2.75 2.35
Over 3.5 3.58
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 1.75 2.88
Under 2.0 2.48
Under 2.25 2.02
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.58
Under 3.5 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 3.30
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.10
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.38
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.12
Draw 3.16
Home 3.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.73
Draw 1.93
Home 4.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 2.32
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.04
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.20
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.86
Over 2.5 2.11
Over 2.75 2.40
Over 3.0 2.98
Over 3.25 3.31
Over 3.5 3.62
Over 3.75 4.57
Over 4.0 6.42
Over 4.25 6.75
Over 4.5 7.10
Over 5.5 16.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 0.75 6.90
Under 1.0 6.28
Under 1.25 3.82
Under 1.5 2.91
Under 1.75 2.56
Under 2.0 2.23
Under 2.25 1.88
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 2.75 1.50
Under 3.0 1.34
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.98
Draw 3.20
Home 3.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 3.5 4.00
Under 1.5 2.65
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 3.5 1.19

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 22 1 3 64:26 38 67
W W W W W
2 26 13 5 8 30:26 4 44
W L W W L
3 26 12 7 7 45:23 22 43
W D L W D
4 26 12 6 8 33:26 7 42
L D W W W
5 26 12 5 9 26:20 6 41
W W L W W
6 26 10 9 7 28:20 8 39
W D L D L
7 26 10 7 9 29:29 0 37
W D W W W
8 27 9 9 9 33:34 -1 36
W D D W W
9 26 9 8 9 28:28 0 35
L W L D W
10 26 8 9 9 25:29 -4 33
W D D L D
11 27 9 5 13 23:35 -12 32
L D L L L
12 26 8 6 12 30:39 -9 30
L W D L L
13 26 8 8 10 21:31 -10 29
L W D L L
14 27 9 2 16 26:38 -12 29
W L L L L
15 27 6 6 15 17:29 -12 24
L L L D L
16 26 4 5 17 12:37 -25 17
L L W L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs