Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
71.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guayaquil City FC
26 matches
Emelec
23 matches
| Guayaquil City FC | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 19 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.09 | Shots On Goal | 3.04 |
| 8.09 | Total Shots | 9.96 |
| 2.83 | Corners | 4.43 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Emelec. Emelec arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
From their first 23 matches, Guayaquil City FC have collected 28 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Edinson Mero (8 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Emelec approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 25 points from 23 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 19:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (4 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 4 times, Emelec won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Guayaquil City FC
Home
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Emelec
Away
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|