ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt
Referee: J. C. Andrade Arreaga
Guayaquil City FC
Match Timeline
Emelec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
J. Quinonez ↔ E. Cabezas
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
54'
F. Pizzini ↔ R. Saya
Emelec
🟨
61'
E. Segura
Emelec
🔄
72'
J. Ruiz ↔ L. Fragozo
Emelec
🔄
72'
L. Gomez ↔ I. Cuero
Emelec
🔄
79'
A. Mina ↔ L. Klimowicz
Emelec
🔄
83'
S. Laurino ↔ K. Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.1%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guayaquil City FC Win 47.5%
Draw 23.5%
Emelec Win 28.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guayaquil City FC1.02
Emelec0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 29 GA
Emelec Emelec
WLDWL
19 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
4
3.09
Shots on Goal
3.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 26 matches
Emelec Emelec 23 matches
Guayaquil City FC Statistic Emelec
8 Wins 7
7 Draws 7
11 Losses 9
23 Goals For 19
29 Goals Against 28
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
12 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 8
3.09 Shots On Goal 3.04
8.09 Total Shots 9.96
2.83 Corners 4.43
51.7% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Emelec. Emelec arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Guayaquil City FC have collected 28 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Edinson Mero (8 goals), Damián Díaz (4 goals), Pablo González (3 goals), with creative support from Junior Ayovi (4 assists), Edinson Mero (2 assists), Damián Díaz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Emelec Analysis

Emelec approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 25 points from 23 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 19:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (4 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 4 times, Emelec won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1 / Emelec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Guayaquil City FC wins 4, draws 6, Emelec wins 5

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 2 3 66:28 38 68
D W W W W
2 27 14 5 8 31:26 5 47
W W L W W
3 27 13 6 8 35:27 8 45
W L D W W
4 27 12 8 7 47:25 22 44
D W D L W
5 27 12 5 10 27:22 5 41
L W W L W
6 27 10 9 8 28:22 6 39
L W D L D
7 27 10 7 10 29:30 -1 37
L W D W W
8 27 9 9 9 33:34 -1 36
W D D W W
9 27 9 9 9 27:30 -3 36
W W D D L
10 27 9 8 10 29:30 -1 35
L L W L D
11 27 9 8 10 23:32 -9 32
W L W D L
12 27 9 5 13 23:35 -12 32
L D L L L
13 27 8 6 13 31:41 -10 30
L L W D L
14 27 9 2 16 26:38 -12 29
W L L L L
15 27 6 6 15 17:29 -12 24
L L L D L
16 27 5 5 17 14:37 -23 20
W L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs