ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
09.05.2026 21:00
Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt
Referee: Oswaldo Contreras, Ecuador
Guayaquil City FC
Match Timeline
Deportivo Cuenca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Santiago Postel
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
40'
Santiago Camilo Laurino Gambetta
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
55'
B. Garcia ↔ J. Chacon
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
64'
G. Napa ↔ R. Perea
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
71'
G. Rivero ↔ N. Leguizamon
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
71'
M. Diaz ↔ D. Gonzalez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
73'
P. Gonzalez ↔ A. Naula
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
73'
D. Arroyo ↔ K. Sambonino
Guayaquil City FC
🟨
82'
Edison Vega
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
87'
J. Ordonez ↔ M. Klimowicz
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
88'
S. Laurino ↔ J. Humanante
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
88'
P. Mancilla ↔ J. Ordonez
Guayaquil City FC
⚽
90'
M. Klimowicz · Assist: D. Gonzalez
Deportivo Cuenca

Guayaquil City FC vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Guayaquil City FC Win 41.6%
Draw 20.7%
Deportivo Cuenca Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guayaquil City FC1.04
Deportivo Cuenca1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WWDLW
13 GF / 15 GA
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
7
3.08
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 15 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 14 matches
Guayaquil City FC Statistic Deportivo Cuenca
6 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 5
13 Goals For 18
15 Goals Against 18
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
3.08 Shots On Goal 3.67
8.67 Total Shots 11.25
2.92 Corners 4.08
54.7% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guayaquil City FC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Deportivo Cuenca in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cuenca having the stronger overall control. Guayaquil City FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Cuenca. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 18 points from 12 games, Guayaquil City FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:11, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Mero (4 goals), D. Diaz (2 goals), P. Gonzalez (2 goals), with creative support from J. J. Ayovi Caicedo (4 assists), D. Diaz (1 assists), P. Gonzalez (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca sit 7 with 17 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 14:16 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Ordonez (4 goals), Matias Klimowicz (3 goals), G. Rivero (2 goals), with creative support from G. Rivero (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), J. Ordonez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 4 times, Deportivo Cuenca won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Guayaquil City FC 3-4-2-1 / Deportivo Cuenca 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Guayaquil City FC wins 4, draws 3, Deportivo Cuenca wins 8

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Liga Pro (Relegation Group)