BRAZIL SERIE C
17.08.2026 23:00
Referee: A. Monteiro
Guarani Campinas
Match Timeline
Ypiranga-RS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
Dudu Marques
Guarani Campinas
🟨
37'
Luis Otavio
Guarani Campinas
🔄
46'
Luis Otavio ↔ Willian Farias
Guarani Campinas
🟨
52'
Cleiton
Ypiranga-RS
55'
Mauricio Antonio
Guarani Campinas
🔄
60'
Leo Rafael ↔ Felipe Ferreira
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
60'
Marcelinho ↔ Nathan Zamith
Ypiranga-RS
63'
Mago
Ypiranga-RS
67'
Lucas Ramos
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
74'
Dudu Marques ↔ Ynaia
Guarani Campinas
🔄
74'
Lucca ↔ Neto Costa
Guarani Campinas
🔄
80'
Herbert ↔ Kaua Jesus
Guarani Campinas
🔄
80'
Isaque ↔ Matheus Guilherme
Guarani Campinas
🔄
83'
Mago ↔ Walce
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
83'
Nicolas ↔ Dudu
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
86'
Alex Goncalves
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
90+6'
Robson Lopes
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
90+1'
Lucas Ramos ↔ Robson Lopes
Ypiranga-RS

Guarani Campinas vs Ypiranga-RS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guarani Campinas Win 70.3%
Draw 12%
Ypiranga-RS Win 17.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guarani Campinas1.56
Ypiranga-RS1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WWDLW
29 GF / 17 GA
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 16 matches
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 17 matches
Guarani Campinas Statistic Ypiranga-RS
7 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 6
29 Goals For 24
17 Goals Against 20
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ypiranga-RS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ypiranga-RS having the stronger overall control.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Guarani Campinas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 26 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 28:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

Ypiranga-RS are currently 6 in the standings with 24 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:20 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Guarani Campinas won 2 times, Ypiranga-RS won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Guarani Campinas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: Guarani Campinas wins 2, draws 2, Ypiranga-RS wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation