BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: P. Belence
Guarani Campinas
Match Timeline
Floresta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Guilherme Cachoeira
Guarani Campinas
🟨
49'
Afonso
Floresta
🟨
57'
Maranhao
Guarani Campinas
🟨
58'
Nonato
Floresta
🔄
60'
Nonato ↔ Jhony Douglas
Floresta
🔄
60'
Garraty ↔ Matheusinho
Floresta
🟨
66'
Buga
Floresta
🔄
66'
Carlos Eduardo ↔ Emerson Barbosa
Guarani Campinas
🔄
66'
Guilherme Cachoeira ↔ Guilherme Parede
Guarani Campinas
🔄
69'
Eliandro ↔ Cedric
Floresta
🔄
69'
Buga ↔ Danrley
Floresta
🟨
76'
Dheimison
Floresta
🔄
80'
Maranhao ↔ Herbert
Guarani Campinas
🔄
80'
Isaque ↔ Kewen
Guarani Campinas
🔄
82'
Kaua Jesus ↔ Lucca
Guarani Campinas
🔄
89'
Caique ↔ Diego Matos
Floresta
🟨
90+4'
Joao Victor
Floresta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guarani Campinas Win 63.5%
Draw 4.3%
Floresta Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guarani Campinas1.62
Floresta1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WWDLW
23 GF / 11 GA
Floresta Floresta
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
6
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 12 matches
Floresta Floresta 12 matches
Guarani Campinas Statistic Floresta
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
23 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 14
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
6 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Guarani Campinas's more proactive style and Floresta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Floresta. Floresta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Guarani Campinas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 21 points compared to Floresta in 10 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floresta having the stronger overall control.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Guarani Campinas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 21 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a 22:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Floresta Analysis

Floresta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 15 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 13:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Guarani Campinas won 0 times, Floresta won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Guarani Campinas's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Guarani Campinas wins 0, draws 2, Floresta wins 0

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation