BRAZIL SERIE C
13.06.2026 14:00
Referee: M. Oliveira
Guarani Campinas
Match Timeline
Caxias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
Isaque
Guarani Campinas
🟨
59'
Mauricio Antonio
Guarani Campinas
59'
Vitor Feijao
Caxias
🟨
60'
Roberto
Caxias
🟨
64'
Mauricio Ribeiro
Caxias
🔄
69'
Ravanelli ↔ Breno Santos
Caxias
🔄
69'
Vitor Feijao ↔ Victor Sa
Caxias
🔄
70'
Matheus Nunes ↔ Joao Lucas
Caxias
🟨
71'
Salatiel
Caxias
🔄
75'
Maranhao ↔ Kaua Jesus
Guarani Campinas
🔄
75'
Carlos Eduardo ↔ Herbert
Guarani Campinas
🔄
78'
Ianson ↔ Mancha
Caxias
🔄
83'
Guilherme Cachoeira ↔ Lucca
Guarani Campinas
🔄
88'
Rian ↔ Raphael
Guarani Campinas
🔄
88'
Isaque ↔ Guilherme Parede
Guarani Campinas
🟨
90'
Breno Santos
Caxias
🟨
90+1'
Willian Farias
Guarani Campinas
🔄
90+2'
Grigor ↔ Gaspar
Caxias
90'
Joao Paulo
Guarani Campinas

Guarani Campinas vs Caxias Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guarani Campinas Win 75.2%
Draw 5.6%
Caxias Win 19.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guarani Campinas1.6
Caxias0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WWDLW
20 GF / 7 GA
Caxias Caxias
WLDWL
9 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.22
Average Goals Scored
1
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 9 matches
Caxias Caxias 9 matches
Guarani Campinas Statistic Caxias
5 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
1 Losses 2
20 Goals For 9
7 Goals Against 6
2.22 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Guarani Campinas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Caxias. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caxias having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Guarani Campinas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 9 matches. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 20:7, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Hebert (4 goals), Guilherme Cachoeira (3 goals), Carlos Eduardo (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Caxias Analysis

Placed 5 with 15 points from 9 outings, Caxias continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Salatiel (4 goals), Calyson (2 goals), Joao Lucas (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Guarani Campinas won 4 times, Caxias won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:8 from Guarani Campinas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Guarani Campinas wins 4, draws 2, Caxias wins 2

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation