BRAZIL SERIE C
29.08.2026 20:00
Referee: M. Oliveira
Guarani Campinas
Match Timeline
Brusque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Marlyson
Brusque
34'
Maranhao
Guarani Campinas
🔄
46'
Marlyson ↔ Adrianinho
Brusque
🔄
46'
Pedro Medeiros ↔ Petterson Novaes
Brusque
57'
Petterson Novaes
Brusque
🔄
58'
Isaque ↔ Kaua Jesus
Guarani Campinas
60'
Ariel
Brusque
🟨
62'
Bernardo
Brusque
🟨
74'
Paulo Gianezini
Brusque
🔄
74'
Everton Brito ↔ Ynaia
Guarani Campinas
🔄
74'
Dudu Marques ↔ Carlos Eduardo
Guarani Campinas
🔄
74'
Willian Farias ↔ Matheus Guilherme
Guarani Campinas
🔄
75'
Ariel ↔ Macario
Brusque
🔄
75'
Clinton ↔ Alex Paulino
Brusque
76'
Matheus Guilherme
Guarani Campinas
🔄
82'
Ryan Santos ↔ Joao Maistro
Brusque
🟨
85'
Carlos Eduardo
Guarani Campinas
🔄
86'
Mauricio Antonio ↔ Lucca
Guarani Campinas
🟨
90+7'
Alex Paulino
Brusque

Guarani Campinas vs Brusque Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.89
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.8%
1.54
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.89
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.23
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Guarani Campinas Win 78.8%
Draw 6%
Brusque Win 15.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guarani Campinas1.51
Brusque1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WWDLW
32 GF / 22 GA
Brusque Brusque
WLDWL
26 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
11
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 18 matches
Brusque Brusque 18 matches
Guarani Campinas Statistic Brusque
7 Wins 9
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 5
32 Goals For 26
22 Goals Against 20
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
11 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Brusque. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brusque having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Guarani Campinas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 27 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 31:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Brusque Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 30 points from 17 games, Brusque bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 25:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Guarani Campinas won 3 times, Brusque won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Guarani Campinas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Guarani Campinas wins 3, draws 1, Brusque wins 5

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation