BRAZIL SERIE D
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Guaporé
Match Timeline
Galvez
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
78'
Marlon
Guaporé

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guaporé Win 87.1%
Draw 0%
Galvez Win 12.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guaporé1.88
Galvez1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guaporé Guaporé
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Galvez Galvez
WLDWL
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guaporé Guaporé 5 matches
Galvez Galvez 5 matches
Guaporé Statistic Galvez
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
9 Goals For 7
5 Goals Against 10
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Guaporé's more proactive style and Galvez's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Galvez. Guaporé arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 11 points compared to Galvez in 4 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Galvez having the stronger overall control.

Guaporé Analysis

Guaporé approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 11 points after 5 outings. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 9:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gabriel (4 goals), Daniel Felipe (1 goals), Diogo (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Galvez Analysis

Galvez come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Capixaba (4 goals), Daniego (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Guaporé won 1 times, Galvez won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Guaporé's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Guaporé wins 1, draws 2, Galvez wins 0
Last matches: Guaporé
14.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
Last matches: Galvez
14.06.26
Ser
Galvez
Araguaína
0
9
L
30.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Porto Velho
2
6
L
24.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Independência
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Humaitá
4
2
W
03.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Guaporé
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Humaitá
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Independência
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Porto Velho
0
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Araguaína
1
2
L
H2H: Guaporé vs Galvez
09.05.26
H2H
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
03.05.26
H2H
Galvez
Guaporé
3
3
D
19.02.26
H2H
Galvez
Guaporé
1
1
D
Last matches: Guaporé
30.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
H2H at home: Guaporé
09.05.26
H2H
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
Last matches: Galvez
14.06.26
Ser
Galvez
Araguaína
0
9
L
24.05.26
Ser
Galvez
Independência
1
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Humaitá
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Galvez
Porto Velho
0
4
L
H2H away: Galvez
09.05.26
H2H
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)