BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Guaporé
Match Timeline
Araguaína
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
Watthimen
Guaporé
45'
Thalyson Coimbra
Araguaína
🟥
60'
Araguaína
Araguaína
🟥
61'
Guaporé
Guaporé
66'
Daniel Felipe
Guaporé
82'
Lucas Guedes
Guaporé
90'
Alan Calbergue
Araguaína

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.26
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.92
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.2%
1.26
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.7%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
1.92
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.02
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Guaporé Win 49.2%
Draw 4.9%
Araguaína Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guaporé1.35
Araguaína1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guaporé Guaporé
WWDLW
14 GF / 5 GA
Araguaína Araguaína
WLDWL
20 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2.5
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guaporé Guaporé 8 matches
Araguaína Araguaína 8 matches
Guaporé Statistic Araguaína
5 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
0 Losses 1
14 Goals For 20
5 Goals Against 6
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
3 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Araguaína. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Araguaína having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Guaporé Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 15 points from 7 games, Guaporé bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 10:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gabriel (4 goals), L. Pessoa (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Araguaína Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 14 points from 7 games, Araguaína bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 19:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Alan Calbergue (4 goals), G. Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues (4 goals), Ailton (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Guaporé won 1 times, Araguaína won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Guaporé's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Guaporé wins 1, draws 1, Araguaína wins 0
Last matches: Guaporé
23.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
Last matches: Araguaína
24.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Porto Velho
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
7
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
6
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Porto Velho
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
2
1
W
H2H: Guaporé vs Araguaína
30.05.26
H2H
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
12.04.26
H2H
Araguaína
Guaporé
1
1
D
Last matches: Guaporé
09.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
H2H at home: Guaporé
30.05.26
H2H
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
Last matches: Araguaína
17.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
7
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Porto Velho
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
2
1
W
H2H away: Araguaína
30.05.26
H2H
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.64
Draw 3.18
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.00
Home 2.58
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.86
Draw 2.40
Home 2.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.15
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.33
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 2.75 2.15
Over 3.0 2.59
Over 3.25 2.92
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.50
Over 4.25 5.89
Over 4.5 6.25
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 0.75 7.75
Under 1.0 7.20
Under 1.25 4.24
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.81
Under 2.0 2.43
Under 2.25 2.01
Under 2.5 1.77
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.0 1.39
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 3.10
Home 1.94
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.5 1.90
Over 3.5 3.30
Under 1.5 3.30
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 3.5 1.26

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
L W W W D
1 9 5 3 1 18:7 11 18
D D W W W
1 9 5 3 1 12:7 5 18
D D D W W
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
1 9 5 3 1 14:6 8 18
W W D L W
1 9 4 5 0 14:8 6 17
D D W W D
1 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W W W L W
1 9 6 1 2 14:7 7 19
W W L D L
1 9 5 4 0 12:5 7 19
W D W D W
1 9 6 3 0 17:7 10 21
W W D W D
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
W W W W W
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 9 5 3 1 20:9 11 18
W W L W W
1 9 4 5 0 13:7 6 17
D D D W D
1 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
D W W D W
2 9 3 5 1 11:7 4 14
D W L D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
D D W W L
2 9 3 3 3 10:8 2 12
?
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
2 9 5 2 2 16:7 9 17
W W D D W
2 9 3 3 3 11:7 4 12
D L W W W
2 9 4 3 2 9:3 6 15
D W L W D
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
D W W W L
2 9 5 2 2 12:8 4 17
D W L W D
2 9 4 3 2 22:9 13 15
L D L W W
2 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
D L D W D
2 9 4 4 1 12:7 5 16
D D L D W
2 9 5 2 2 17:13 4 17
L W W L W
2 9 4 4 1 10:6 4 16
W W D D D
2 9 3 5 1 12:8 4 14
D W D L D
2 9 5 3 1 12:3 9 18
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 14:12 2 14
L L D W W
3 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D D L L L
3 9 3 3 3 6:6 0 12
L D W D W
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
3 9 3 5 1 14:7 7 14
D D W D L
3 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:5 4 15
W D L L D
3 9 3 3 3 3:4 -1 12
L D L D W
3 9 3 4 2 10:6 4 13
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 20:9 11 15
W D D W D
3 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D L W W W
3 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
D D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 14:13 1 13
W D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 12:5 7 13
W W W D L
3 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
W L W D L
3 8 2 4 2 6:4 2 10
D D D D L
4 9 2 4 3 6:6 0 10
L D D L D
4 9 2 4 3 13:15 -2 10
W D D D L
4 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D D W W L
4 9 3 3 3 8:11 -3 12
D L L D D
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
4 9 2 3 4 10:21 -11 9
D L W L D
4 9 3 2 4 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
4 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
L D W L W
4 9 2 4 3 5:8 -3 10
W D D W D
4 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
L D W W D
4 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
W W W L D
4 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
D W L L L
4 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
W L L W L
4 9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
D L L W W
4 9 2 4 3 9:8 1 10
D W D W L
5 8 3 1 4 4:7 -3 10
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 10:15 -5 9
D D W L L
5 9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
D D L L W
5 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
W L W L L
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L D L W L
5 9 2 4 3 7:9 -2 10
L D L D D
5 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
L D D L L
5 9 2 4 3 7:10 -3 10
D D W L D
5 9 3 1 5 14:22 -8 10
L L W L D
5 9 2 5 2 9:9 0 11
D W L L D
5 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D L W D L
5 9 2 3 4 11:17 -6 9
L L W W D
5 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
6 9 0 2 7 2:18 -16 2
L D L L L
6 8 2 1 5 9:15 -6 7
W L L L W
6 9 1 2 6 4:13 -9 5
D D L L W
6 9 2 3 4 7:9 -2 9
W W L D D
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L
6 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
L L L W D
6 9 2 3 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W D D
6 9 1 1 7 2:17 -15 4
L L L W L
6 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L W L D L
6 9 0 2 7 5:16 -11 2
L L L D L
6 9 0 0 9 4:37 -33 0
L L L L L
6 9 0 1 8 3:16 -13 1
L L D L L
6 9 1 2 6 7:15 -8 5
L D L W L
6 9 1 1 7 11:22 -11 4
L D L L L
6 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D D L L
6 9 1 4 4 4:11 -7 7
L L L W D