BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Win 36.5%
Draw 14.3%
Oriente Petrolero Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.22
Oriente Petrolero1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
WWDLW
20 GF / 29 GA
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero
WLDWL
33 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
13
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
13
1.77
Shots on Goal
1.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 18 matches
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 18 matches
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Statistic Oriente Petrolero
3 Wins 9
7 Draws 2
8 Losses 7
20 Goals For 33
29 Goals Against 25
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
13 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
1.77 Shots On Goal 1.83
6.62 Total Shots 4.5
1.38 Corners 0.58
24.5% Ball Possession 16.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Oriente Petrolero's more proactive style and Gualberto Villarroel SJ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Oriente Petrolero look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Oriente Petrolero. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Oriente Petrolero carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 23 points while Gualberto Villarroel SJ sit 14 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oriente Petrolero having the stronger overall control.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ Analysis

Gualberto Villarroel SJ approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 12 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 14:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oriente Petrolero Analysis

Oriente Petrolero are currently 6 in the standings with 23 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 25:20 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Gualberto Villarroel SJ won 4 times, Oriente Petrolero won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Gualberto Villarroel SJ's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.78 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
H2H summary: Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins 4, draws 0, Oriente Petrolero wins 5
Last matches: Gualberto Villarroel SJ
17.08.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Independiente Petrolero
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Always Ready
2
3
L
05.08.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Real Potosí
0
0
D
27.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
19.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
The Strongest
0
0
D
15.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Blooming
1
1
D
11.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Real Oruro
1
3
L
07.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Real Tomayapo
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Guabirá
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Bolívar
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
ABB
1
2
L
24.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Blooming
1
4
L
17.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
4
2
W
11.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
1
1
D
13.12.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Universitario de Vinto
5
0
W
09.12.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Jorge Wilstermann
2
2
D
Last matches: Oriente Petrolero
15.08.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Oruro
3
2
W
09.08.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
5
0
W
06.08.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Bolívar
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
19.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Aurora
2
2
D
16.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Blooming
0
1
L
15.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Guabirá
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
ABB
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Potosí
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
2
L
11.03.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest
0
3
L
01.03.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
5
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
3
1
W
14.12.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Bolívar
1
3
L
11.12.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
ABB
2
5
L
H2H: Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero
12.04.26
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
L
06.12.25
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
2
W
26.10.25
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
6
0
W
12.10.25
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
5
1
W
01.12.24
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4
2
L
03.08.24
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
2
0
W
13.03.24
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
0
L
03.03.24
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
Last matches: Gualberto Villarroel SJ
09.08.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Always Ready
2
3
L
05.08.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
0
D
27.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
19.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
The Strongest
0
0
D
07.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Real Tomayapo
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Bolívar
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
ABB
1
2
L
11.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
1
1
D
13.12.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Universitario de Vinto
5
0
W
02.12.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
5
L
21.11.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
4
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Bolívar
0
2
L
21.09.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Blooming
1
4
L
14.09.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Always Ready
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
13.07.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Jorge Wilstermann
2
1
W
06.07.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
5
1
W
20.06.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Guabirá
4
1
W
01.06.25
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Nacional Potosí
1
0
W
H2H at home: Gualberto Villarroel SJ
26.10.25
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
6
0
W
06.07.25
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
5
1
W
03.08.24
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
2
0
W
03.03.24
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
Last matches: Oriente Petrolero
15.08.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Oruro
3
2
W
06.08.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Bolívar
1
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
19.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Aurora
2
2
D
16.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
ABB
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
2
L
11.03.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest
0
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
3
1
W
11.12.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
ABB
2
5
L
03.12.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
23.11.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Jorge Wilstermann
1
3
L
29.09.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest
0
2
L
16.09.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
1
2
L
30.07.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
4
L
19.07.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Bolívar
0
1
L
06.07.25
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
5
L
H2H away: Oriente Petrolero
26.10.25
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
6
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
5
1
L
03.08.24
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
2
0
L
03.03.24
H2H
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
W

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 4 1 32:9 23 34
D W D W W
2 15 9 3 3 36:16 20 30
W W W L W
3 15 7 6 2 22:17 5 27
L L W D D
4 15 6 6 3 22:11 11 24
D W W D L
5 15 7 3 5 26:27 -1 24
W W W D W
6 15 7 2 6 25:20 5 23
W W L W W
7 15 5 7 3 23:22 1 22
L L D D W
8 15 6 4 5 22:21 1 22
W W D W L
9 15 5 6 4 20:16 4 21
W L D L D
10 15 5 3 7 22:21 1 18
W L L L W
11 15 5 2 8 18:28 -10 17
L W D W L
12 15 5 2 8 27:38 -11 17
L W L L L
13 15 5 1 9 24:31 -7 16
L L W D L
14 15 2 6 7 14:22 -8 12
L L D D W
15 15 3 3 9 11:31 -20 12
W L L D L
16 15 3 2 10 17:31 -14 11
L L L D L