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14.09.2026 01:07
Estadio Akron
Referee: Maximiliano Quintero Hernandez, Mexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Match Timeline
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
S. Sandoval · Assist: F. Gonzalez
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
38'
Pedro Vite
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
56'
S. Sandoval · Assist: A. Sepulveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
57'
H. Camberos ↔ R. Ledezma
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
57'
A. Sepulveda ↔ B. Gonzalez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
57'
O. Govea ↔ E. Alvarez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
61'
P. Vite ↔ A. Carrasquilla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
61'
U. Antuna ↔ A. Medina
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
67'
B. Gonzalez · Assist: E. Alvarez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
68'
D. Aguirre ↔ L. Rey
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
71'
V. Arteaga ↔ I. Luna
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
71'
Juninho ↔ S. Trigos
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
77'
S. Sandoval ↔ B. Gutierrez
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
80'
Diego Campillo
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
80'
Luciano Herrera
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
89'
L. Herrera ↔ S. Lopez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Guadalajara Chivas Win 46.4%
Draw 14.3%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guadalajara Chivas1.29
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
W D W W D
11 GF / 4 GA
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W L D D W
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.45
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
6
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 10 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 11 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Statistic U.N.A.M. - Pumas
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
13 Goals For 16
6 Goals Against 14
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
6 Shots On Goal 4.33
14.71 Total Shots 13.11
7.86 Corners 4.44
58.6% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Guadalajara Chivas's more proactive style and U.N.A.M. - Pumas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guadalajara Chivas expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and U.N.A.M. - Pumas in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward U.N.A.M. - Pumas having the stronger overall control. Guadalajara Chivas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 14 points compared to U.N.A.M. - Pumas in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Guadalajara Chivas Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 14 points from 7 games, Guadalajara Chivas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Alvarado (3 goals), R. Marín (2 goals), R. Ledezma (1 goals), with creative support from R. Marín (2 assists), H. Camberos (1 assists), E. Álvarez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Analysis

So far, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 8 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juninho (3 goals), Robert Morales (1 goals), Victor Arteaga (1 goals), with creative support from Robert Morales (3 assists), Rodrigo Lopez (1 assists), Uriel Antuna (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 9 times, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Guadalajara Chivas's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
Predicted formations: Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1 / U.N.A.M. - Pumas 5-4-1
H2H summary: Guadalajara Chivas wins 9, draws 4, U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 2

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 3 2 33:18 15 27
L W W D W
2 14 8 2 4 32:23 9 26
W W W D D
3 14 7 5 2 21:12 9 26
W W D D L
4 14 7 3 4 25:26 -1 24
W L W D W
5 14 6 5 3 29:19 10 23
D D D L D
6 14 6 4 4 21:18 3 22
D W L D W
7 13 6 2 5 23:18 5 20
L W W D L
8 13 5 5 3 21:17 4 20
W D D D L
9 13 6 2 5 17:18 -1 20
L L L W W
10 14 6 1 7 20:20 0 19
L W W W W
11 14 5 4 5 19:22 -3 19
W W D L W
12 14 4 5 5 20:23 -3 17
D L W D L
13 14 4 4 6 22:19 3 16
W L L D L
14 14 4 4 6 16:21 -5 16
L L D D L
15 14 3 6 5 15:19 -4 15
D L D W W
16 14 3 5 6 14:20 -6 14
L W L L W
17 14 2 4 8 16:27 -11 10
D L L D L
18 14 1 2 11 9:33 -24 5
D L L D L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)