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18.10.2026 23:30
Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera

Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.4%
2.00 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.36 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.5%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Guabirá Win 51.4%
Draw 7.3%
Oriente Petrolero Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guabirá1.5
Oriente Petrolero1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guabirá Guabirá
WWDLW
37 GF / 49 GA
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero
WLDWL
45 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.88
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
16
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
17
4.71
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guabirá Guabirá 23 matches
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 24 matches
Guabirá Statistic Oriente Petrolero
9 Wins 12
5 Draws 3
9 Losses 9
37 Goals For 45
49 Goals Against 32
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
16 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 17
12 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 4
4.71 Shots On Goal 3.29
12.62 Total Shots 8.33
4.24 Corners 2.48
46.7% Ball Possession 29.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Oriente Petrolero's more proactive style and Guabirá's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guabirá expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Oriente Petrolero in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oriente Petrolero having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Oriente Petrolero. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Guabirá Analysis

Guabirá sit 7 with 29 points after 20 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Robles (1 goals), S. Gil (1 goals), C. Áñez (1 goals), with creative support from Rafinha (2 assists), M. Portillo (1 assists), S. Garzón (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oriente Petrolero Analysis

Placed 4 with 33 points from 21 outings, Oriente Petrolero continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 37:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Nacif (2 goals), L. Vaca (1 goals), J. Flores (1 goals), with creative support from J. Berdecio (2 assists), L. Vaca (1 assists), J. Flores (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá won 4 times, Oriente Petrolero won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:29 from Guabirá's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Guabirá 4-2-3-1 / Oriente Petrolero 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Guabirá wins 4, draws 2, Oriente Petrolero wins 9

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 6 1 49:13 36 48
W W W W D
2 21 15 3 3 55:22 33 48
W W W W W
3 21 12 6 3 39:23 16 42
L W W W W
4 21 9 8 4 28:14 14 35
W W W D L
5 21 10 3 8 37:27 10 33
W W L L D
6 21 7 10 4 33:29 4 31
D L W W D
7 21 8 5 8 33:43 -10 29
L W L D L
8 21 8 4 9 32:30 2 28
D L W W L
9 21 6 9 6 30:23 7 27
L D W L D
10 21 7 4 10 27:37 -10 25
L L L L W
11 21 7 3 11 35:51 -16 24
W L L W D
12 21 6 3 12 21:40 -19 21
D W L L L
13 21 6 2 13 31:46 -15 20
L L L W L
14 21 5 3 13 27:42 -15 18
L D W L W
15 21 3 8 10 25:38 -13 17
W L L L D
16 21 4 5 12 15:39 -24 17
D L L L W