16.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Gilberto Parada
Guabirá
Match Timeline
Aurora
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Carlos Anez · Assist: Rafinha
Guabirá
8'
Makerlo Tellez · Assist: S.Garzón
Guabirá
🟨
35'
Henry Vaca
Aurora
VAR
44'
Michael Rangel
Aurora
🟨
45'
S. Gil
Guabirá
45+2'
Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro
Aurora
🟨
45+4'
Ivan Huayhuata
Aurora
52'
Gustavo Peredo · Assist: Rafinha
Guabirá
🔄
53'
Makerlo Tellez ↔ Juan Carlos Parada
Guabirá
🔄
54'
Thiago Chavez ↔ Yuto Edward Baigorria Nishizawa
Guabirá
🔄
62'
Gustavo Peredo ↔ Victor Abrego
Guabirá
🔄
65'
Henry Vaca ↔ adrian pacheco
Aurora
🔄
65'
Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro ↔ Harrison Mojica
Aurora
🔄
65'
Ivan Huayhuata ↔ Ronaldo Sánchez
Aurora
🔄
65'
Jair Torrico ↔ M. Ortiz
Aurora
🟨
69'
Juan Carlos Parada
Guabirá
🔄
72'
Thiago Ribeiro ↔ A. Moreno
Guabirá
🔄
72'
S.Garzón ↔ Milton Maciel
Guabirá
🔄
79'
leandro barro ↔ sebastian altamirano
Aurora
🟨
88'
Milton Maciel
Guabirá

Guabirá vs Aurora Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.97
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.2%
1.97
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.4%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Guabirá Win 67.2%
Draw 11.4%
Aurora Win 21.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guabirá1.49
Aurora1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guabirá Guabirá
WWDLW
33 GF / 44 GA
Aurora Aurora
WLDWL
33 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.57
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
14
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
10
2.63
Shots on Goal
3.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guabirá Guabirá 21 matches
Aurora Aurora 21 matches
Guabirá Statistic Aurora
8 Wins 7
5 Draws 10
8 Losses 4
33 Goals For 33
44 Goals Against 29
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
14 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
2.63 Shots On Goal 3.37
6.89 Total Shots 8.63
2.11 Corners 2.74
23.4% Ball Possession 34.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Aurora's more proactive style and Guabirá's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aurora. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Guabirá Analysis

So far, Guabirá have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 26 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 29:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Robles (1 goals), S. Gil (1 goals), Pedro Augusto (1 goals), with creative support from M. Portillo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aurora Analysis

Placed 5 with 27 points from 18 outings, Aurora continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 28:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Ramallo (5 goals), M. Rangel (4 goals), J. Sánchez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Ramallo (4 assists), L. Viviani (2 assists), M. Ortiz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá won 6 times, Aurora won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Guabirá's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Guabirá 4-3-3 / Aurora 4-3-3
H2H summary: Guabirá wins 6, draws 4, Aurora wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 50:20 30 42
W W W W W
2 19 12 6 1 43:13 30 42
W W D D D
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 19 7 9 3 30:24 6 30
W W D D L
6 19 8 3 8 34:27 7 27
L L D W W
7 19 8 3 8 30:24 6 27
W W L W W
8 19 6 8 5 29:21 8 26
W L D D W
9 19 7 5 7 29:38 -9 26
L D L D W
10 19 7 4 8 26:32 -6 25
L L W L W
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 19 5 2 12 25:38 -13 17
W L W L L
14 19 5 2 12 18:39 -21 17
L L L L L
15 19 4 4 11 15:37 -22 16
L L W D W
16 19 2 8 9 19:33 -14 14
L L D D L