Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Groningen
Excelsior
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Groningen
31 matches
Excelsior
31 matches
| Groningen | Statistic | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 16 |
| 43 | Goals For | 36 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.81 | Shots On Goal | 4.19 |
| 16.16 | Total Shots | 12.32 |
| 6.35 | Corners | 4 |
| 50.8% | Ball Possession | 47.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Groningen's more proactive style and Excelsior's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Groningen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Excelsior in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Excelsior having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Excelsior.
So far, Groningen have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 42 points from 31 matches. The record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 43:40 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Thom van Bergen (9 goals), B. Willumsson (6 goals), Y. Taha (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Taha (7 assists), Thom van Bergen (4 assists), M. Rente (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Excelsior approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 31 points from 31 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 36:51, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Noah Naujoks (9 goals), D. Sanches Fernandes (5 goals), I. Yegoian (5 goals), with creative support from G. de Regt (6 assists), D. Sanches Fernandes (3 assists), I. Yegoian (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Groningen won 8 times, Excelsior won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Groningen's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Groningen
5
9
3
5
4
4
Lineups
Groningen
Ajax
Groningen
Heracles
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
Feyenoord
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Telstar
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
Groningen
Ajax
Groningen
FC Volendam
Groningen
Twente
Groningen
Utrecht
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen
Heerenveen
Groningen
NAC Breda
Groningen
Bodo/Glimt
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Utrecht
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
Heracles
Excelsior
Feyenoord
Excelsior
Heerenveen
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Ajax
Excelsior
Twente
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Telstar
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
Groningen
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
Ajax
Groningen
Utrecht
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen
NAC Breda
Groningen
Bodo/Glimt
Groningen
FC Volendam
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
Groningen
Twente
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Feyenoord
Groningen
Telstar
Groningen
Heracles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
Heracles
Excelsior
Feyenoord
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Twente
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Ajax
Excelsior
Telstar
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Heerenveen
Excelsior
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Utrecht
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Groningen
Home
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Excelsior
Away
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|