Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 54.1%
Draw 22.4%
Tukums Win 23.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.36
Tukums1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa
WWDLW
26 GF / 42 GA
Tukums
WLDWL
40 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
14
BTTS Yes
21
8
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Grobiņa
27 matches
Tukums
23 matches
| Grobiņa | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 26 | Goals For | 40 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 4 times, Tukums won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:41 from Grobiņa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 4, draws 2, Tukums wins 9
Last matches: Grobiņa
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
07.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
Last matches: Tukums
26.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
2
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
17.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
15.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
2
L
H2H: Grobiņa vs Tukums
15.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
05.04.26
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
0
W
21.07.25
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
2
1
L
21.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
2
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
2
L
08.07.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
1
W
16.05.24
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
2
W
04.04.24
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
2
0
L
09.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
3
L
04.08.21
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
6
0
L
10.11.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
8
L
07.09.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
1
L
01.06.19
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
9
0
L
Last matches: Grobiņa
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grobiņa
15.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
04.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
0
W
21.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
2
L
08.07.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
1
W
09.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
3
L
10.11.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
8
L
07.09.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
1
L
Last matches: Tukums
26.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
2
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
15.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Tukums
Panevėžys
1
2
L
H2H away: Tukums
15.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
04.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
0
L
21.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
2
W
08.07.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
1
L
09.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
3
W
10.11.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
8
W
07.09.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
1
W
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 50:14 | 36 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 60:19 | 41 | 49 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 39 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:35 | -13 | 22 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Tukums
Away
|
20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 9 |
Grobiņa
Home
|
20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12:30 | -18 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 19:50 | -31 | 10 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga