Grobiņa
Match Timeline
Tukums
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 54.1%
Draw 22.4%
Tukums Win 23.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.34
Tukums1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa
WWDLW
26 GF / 44 GA
Tukums
WLDWL
41 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
14
BTTS Yes
22
8
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Grobiņa
28 matches
Tukums
24 matches
| Grobiņa | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 26 | Goals For | 41 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 5 times, Tukums won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:33 from Grobiņa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 5, draws 2, Tukums wins 8
Lineups
Grobiņa
Formation
Tukums
R. Ozols
K. Rupeiks
J. Ribeiro
D. Druzinins
O. Olatunde-Matthew
O. Rascevskis
M. Sidorovs
M. Corryn
I. Matyushenko
D. Dobrecovs
Dodo
I. Baturins
R. Melkis
K. Volkovs
H. Joksts
M. Susts
M. Derkach
B. Samoilovs
Anmanis Kaspars
S. Shibata
Leoni
R. Deruzinskis
Grobiņa
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
21
R. Ozols
2
K. Rupeiks
87
J. Ribeiro
⚽ 18'
3
D. Druzinins
🟨 90+1'
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
🟨 16'
11
O. Rascevskis
14
M. Sidorovs
⚽ 38'
↓ 90+4'
6
M. Corryn
↓ 75'
29
I. Matyushenko
↓ 80'
10
D. Dobrecovs
⚽ 60'
🎯 18'
↓ 80'
77
Dodo
🎯 38'
Substitutes
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
33
T. Laizans
32
G. Kluskins
↑ 75'
9
A. Kholod
23
M. Fjodorovs
13
A. Aruna
↑ 80'
25
D. Sirbu
↑ 90+4'
20
H. Yamada
↑ 80'
Tukums
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
97
I. Baturins
28
R. Melkis
↓ 71'
6
K. Volkovs
25
H. Joksts
↓ 71'
30
M. Susts
↓ 46'
🟨 29'
17
M. Derkach
10
B. Samoilovs
⚽ 79'
4
Anmanis Kaspars
7
S. Shibata
11
Leoni
↓ 81'
27
R. Deruzinskis
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
I. Ivanausks
18
N. Dusalijevs
↑ 46'
88
M. Stals
↑ 71'
🟨 86'
21
D. Valmiers
16
K. Klavins
↑ 71'
5
J. Toba
19
D. Radzenieks
↑ 46'
14
D. Calbergs
24
T. Matsubara
↑ 81'
Last matches: Grobiņa
20.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
Last matches: Tukums
18.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
01.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
26.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
2
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
17.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
H2H: Grobiņa vs Tukums
05.07.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
15.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
05.04.26
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
0
W
21.07.25
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
2
1
L
21.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
2
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
2
L
08.07.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
1
W
16.05.24
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
2
W
04.04.24
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
2
0
L
09.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
3
L
04.08.21
H2H
Tukums
Grobiņa
6
0
L
10.11.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
8
L
07.09.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
1
L
Last matches: Grobiņa
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grobiņa
05.07.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
15.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
04.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
0
W
21.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
2
L
08.07.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
1
W
09.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
3
L
10.11.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
8
L
07.09.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
1
L
Last matches: Tukums
18.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
26.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
2
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
15.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Tukums
Panevėžys
1
2
L
H2H away: Tukums
05.07.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
L
15.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
04.10.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
0
L
21.05.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
2
W
08.07.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
2
1
L
09.10.21
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
3
W
10.11.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
8
W
07.09.19
H2H
Grobiņa
Tukums
0
1
W
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Grobiņa
Home
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga