LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: K. Ratnieks
Grobiņa
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
M. Saidy · Assist: G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
31'
M. Kigurs · Assist: M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
50'
R. Baravykas · Assist: R. Baravykas
Grobiņa
🟨
50'
V. Morozs
Rīgas FS
🔄
58'
M. Fjodorovs ↔ J. Ribeiro
Grobiņa
🔄
58'
M. Sidorovs ↔ A. Aruna
Grobiņa
🔄
61'
K. Emenike ↔ R. Veips
Rīgas FS
🔄
63'
J. Krautmanis ↔ D. Sirbu
Grobiņa
🔄
76'
M. Talla ↔ R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
77'
M. Kigurs ↔ D. Zelenkovs
Rīgas FS
🔄
77'
G. Mankenda ↔ S. Kumater
Rīgas FS
80'
R. Veips · Assist: M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
🔄
82'
G. Kluskins ↔ I. Matyushenko
Grobiņa
🔄
82'
O. Rascevskis ↔ H. Yamada
Grobiņa
🔄
82'
A. Filipovic ↔ S. Rakic
Rīgas FS
82'
A. Puzirevskis · Assist: O. Rascevskis
Grobiņa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 13.3%
Draw 3.8%
Rīgas FS Win 82.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa0.98
Rīgas FS2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WWDLW
24 GF / 38 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
65 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
2.32
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
13
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grobiņa Grobiņa 23 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 28 matches
Grobiņa Statistic Rīgas FS
4 Wins 22
10 Draws 4
9 Losses 2
24 Goals For 65
38 Goals Against 25
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 2.32
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
13 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rīgas FS. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 43 points while Grobiņa sit 9 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Grobiņa Analysis

Grobiņa sit 9 with 13 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 10:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Puzirevskis (4 goals), A. Kholod (2 goals), R. Baravykas (2 goals), with creative support from M. Sidorovs (2 assists), A. Puzirevskis (1 assists), R. Baravykas (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Placed 1 with 43 points from 16 outings, Rīgas FS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 38:11 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Lemajic (8 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (7 assists), L. Odisharia (4 assists), J. Ikaunieks (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 0 times, Rīgas FS won 12 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:44 from Grobiņa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 0, draws 0, Rīgas FS wins 12

Lineups

Grobiņa
Formation
Rīgas FS
V. Kudrjavcevs
V. Kudrjavcevs
K. Rupeiks
K. Rupeiks
O. Olatunde-Matthew
O. Olatunde-Matthew
D. Druzinins
D. Druzinins
R. Baravykas
🎯
R. Baravykas
J. Krautmanis
J. Krautmanis
M. Fjodorovs
M. Fjodorovs
O. Rascevskis
🎯
O. Rascevskis
G. Kluskins
G. Kluskins
M. Sidorovs
M. Sidorovs
A. Puzirevskis
A. Puzirevskis
J. Nerugals
J. Nerugals
N. Dusalijevs
N. Dusalijevs
H. Prenga
H. Prenga
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
A. Filipovic
A. Filipovic
S. Panic
S. Panic
G. Mankenda
🎯
G. Mankenda
M. Kigurs
M. Kigurs
M. Saidy
🎯
M. Saidy
M. Talla
M. Talla
K. Emenike
K. Emenike
Grobiņa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
2
K. Rupeiks
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
3
D. Druzinins
27
R. Baravykas
⚽ 50' 🎯 50'
7
J. Krautmanis
↓ 63'
23
M. Fjodorovs
↓ 58'
11
O. Rascevskis
🎯 82' ↓ 82'
32
G. Kluskins
↓ 82'
14
M. Sidorovs
↓ 58'
99
A. Puzirevskis
⚽ 82'
Substitutes
33
T. Laizans
9
A. Kholod
87
J. Ribeiro
↑ 58'
13
A. Aruna
↑ 58'
10
D. Dobrecovs
29
I. Matyushenko
↑ 82'
25
D. Sirbu
↑ 63'
20
H. Yamada
↑ 82'
17
R. Bethers
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
J. Nerugals
21
N. Dusalijevs
23
H. Prenga
43
Z. Lipuscek
6
A. Filipovic
↓ 82'
26
S. Panic
77
G. Mankenda
🎯 21' ↓ 77'
49
M. Kigurs
⚽ 31' ↓ 77'
66
M. Saidy
⚽ 21' 🎯 31' 🎯 80'
70
M. Talla
↓ 76'
20
K. Emenike
↓ 61'
Substitutes
40
A. Kuprins
11
R. Savalnieks
↑ 76'
18
D. Zelenkovs
↑ 77'
5
N. Sliede
4
R. Veips
⚽ 80' ↑ 61'
3
V. Osuagwu
30
H. Njie
81
S. Rakic
↑ 82'
99
S. Kumater
↑ 77'
Last matches: Grobiņa
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
07.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
3
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
1
2
L
Last matches: Rīgas FS
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
H2H: Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS
13.06.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
22.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
21.01.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
2
L
26.10.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
5
0
L
03.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
2
3
L
31.05.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
6
0
L
15.04.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
03.11.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
11.08.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
5
0
L
23.04.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
01.09.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
5
0
L
Last matches: Grobiņa
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grobiņa
13.06.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
22.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
2
3
L
15.04.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
03.11.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
23.04.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
Last matches: Rīgas FS
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Paide
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
2
0
W
21.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
0
1
L
30.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
0
1
L
08.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
H2H away: Rīgas FS
13.06.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
W
22.04.26
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
03.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
2
3
W
15.04.25
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
4
W
03.11.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
2
W
23.04.24
H2H
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
4
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 1 2 42:14 28 46
L W W W W
2 18 14 3 1 56:19 37 45
W W W W W
3 18 11 2 5 34:23 11 35
L D W W W
4 18 7 4 7 23:25 -2 25
L W W D L
5 19 6 5 8 21:25 -4 23
W D D D L
6 18 6 3 9 19:25 -6 21
D L L L W
7 18 3 8 7 32:32 0 17
W D L L L
8 19 3 7 9 12:30 -18 16
L W L L D
9 18 3 7 8 13:33 -20 16
L D D D L
10 18 1 4 13 16:42 -26 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga