Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.7%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.01 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Grobiņa
36 matches
FS Jelgava
34 matches
| Grobiņa | Statistic | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 12 | Draws | 7 |
| 17 | Losses | 18 |
| 34 | Goals For | 37 |
| 63 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FS Jelgava. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Grobiņa expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FS Jelgava in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control.
Grobiņa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 24 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 20:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
FS Jelgava approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 31 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats with a 32:47 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 4 times, FS Jelgava won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Grobiņa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 68:20 | 48 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 84:30 | 54 | 67 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 57 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 42 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 35 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
FS Jelgava
Away
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:48 | -16 | 32 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 8 |
Grobiņa
Home
|
30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20:51 | -31 | 25 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 9 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 29:75 | -46 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
L
|