Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
74.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Grobiņa
24 matches
FK Liepaja
25 matches
| Grobiņa | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 40 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FK Liepaja carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 22 points while Grobiņa sit 9 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FK Liepaja. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Grobiņa sit 9 with 13 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 10:26 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Puzirevskis (4 goals), A. Kholod (2 goals), R. Baravykas (2 goals), with creative support from M. Sidorovs (2 assists), A. Puzirevskis (1 assists), R. Baravykas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
FK Liepaja come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 21:23 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by K. Leidsman (5 goals), D. Gueye (4 goals), Fellipe Vieira (4 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (2 assists), A. Korobenko (2 assists), C. Amatkarijo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 5 times, FK Liepaja won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Grobiņa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Lineups
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
Minija
Grobiņa
Banga
Grobiņa
Banga
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Grobiņa
Home
|
22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|