ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Grindavik Win 25.4%
Draw 28.1%
Leiknir R. Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grindavik1.27
Leiknir R.1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grindavik Grindavik
WWDLW
15 GF / 18 GA
Leiknir R. Leiknir R.
WLDWL
20 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grindavik Grindavik 14 matches
Leiknir R. Leiknir R. 16 matches
Grindavik Statistic Leiknir R.
2 Wins 5
8 Draws 5
4 Losses 6
15 Goals For 20
18 Goals Against 25
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
7 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Leiknir R.. Leiknir R. arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Leiknir R. having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Grindavik Analysis

Grindavik sit 9 with 14 points after 14 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leiknir R. Analysis

With 19 points from 14 games and a place of 8, Leiknir R. still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 19:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Grindavik won 7 times, Leiknir R. won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:13 from Grindavik's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.82 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.6%)
H2H summary: Grindavik wins 7, draws 4, Leiknir R. wins 0
Last matches: Grindavik
18.07.26
1.
Grindavik
IR Reykjavik
0
0
D
14.07.26
1.
Grindavik
Grotta
2
1
W
10.07.26
1.
Grindavik
Njardvik
4
5
L
04.07.26
1.
Grindavik
Vestri
0
0
D
26.06.26
1.
Grindavik
Ægir
0
0
D
21.06.26
1.
Grindavik
HK Kopavogur
2
2
D
17.06.26
1.
Grindavik
Fylkir
0
1
L
01.06.26
1.
Grindavik
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
27.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Afturelding
1
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
17.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Völsungur
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Grindavik
IR Reykjavik
2
2
D
01.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Njardvik
0
0
D
25.04.26
1.
Grindavik
Vestri
1
1
D
Last matches: Leiknir R.
23.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
6
L
16.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
2
3
L
10.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
0
1
L
04.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
3
3
D
26.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
19.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Njardvik
0
1
L
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
05.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
0
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
18.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Leiknir R.
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
H2H: Grindavik vs Leiknir R.
22.05.26
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
08.08.25
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
3
2
W
30.05.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
2
6
W
18.08.24
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
3
3
D
15.06.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
2
3
W
16.08.23
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
1
0
W
10.06.23
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
2
2
D
09.11.20
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
17.09.20
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
02.03.19
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
1
3
W
16.08.16
H2H
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
3
W
02.06.16
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
4
0
W
Last matches: Grindavik
18.07.26
1.
Grindavik
IR Reykjavik
0
0
D
04.07.26
1.
Grindavik
Vestri
0
0
D
26.06.26
1.
Grindavik
Ægir
0
0
D
17.06.26
1.
Grindavik
Fylkir
0
1
L
27.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Afturelding
1
3
L
17.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Völsungur
3
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Njardvik
0
0
D
H2H at home: Grindavik
08.08.25
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
3
2
W
18.08.24
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
3
3
D
16.08.23
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
1
0
W
17.09.20
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
02.06.16
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
4
0
W
Last matches: Leiknir R.
16.07.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
2
3
L
19.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Njardvik
0
1
L
05.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
0
W
27.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
0
3
L
18.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Leiknir R.
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
H2H away: Leiknir R.
08.08.25
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
3
2
L
18.08.24
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
3
3
D
16.08.23
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
1
0
L
17.09.20
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
02.06.16
H2H
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
4
0
L

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:21 22 31
W W W W W
2 15 9 3 3 32:15 17 30
W W D L D
3 14 10 0 4 32:20 12 30
W W W L W
4 15 9 1 5 36:26 10 28
W W W L W
5 14 7 1 6 29:28 1 22
W L W W D
6 15 6 3 6 26:31 -5 21
L L D D W
7 14 6 2 6 20:19 1 20
L W W L W
8 15 5 4 6 20:24 -4 19
L L L D W
9 14 2 8 4 15:18 -3 14
D W L D D
10 15 3 4 8 25:36 -11 13
D L D L L
11 14 1 5 8 17:34 -17 8
L L D D D
12 15 2 2 11 19:42 -23 8
L L L L D
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