Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
87.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
83.3%
|
- |
Grimsby
Swindon Town
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Grimsby
48 matches
Swindon Town
47 matches
| Grimsby | Statistic | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 24 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 13 | Losses | 14 |
| 79 | Goals For | 77 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 40 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.57 | Shots On Goal | 4.38 |
| 13.51 | Total Shots | 11.17 |
| 6.06 | Corners | 5 |
| 54.8% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Swindon Town. Grimsby come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Grimsby expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Swindon Town in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Swindon Town having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
So far, Grimsby have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 74 points from 44 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 62:45 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Kabia (14 goals), K. Green (13 goals), C. Vernam (10 goals), with creative support from C. Vernam (10 assists), K. Green (5 assists), Darragh Burns (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Swindon Town sit 6 with 75 points after 44 league matches. Their overall return of 22 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 67:51 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Drinan (22 goals), O. Palmer (8 goals), O. Clarke (6 goals), with creative support from F. Munroe (6 assists), J. Snowdon (5 assists), D. Oldaker (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 11 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Grimsby won 5 times, Swindon Town won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:28 from Grimsby's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.
Grimsby
6
2
6
2
4
7
Lineups
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Tranmere
Grimsby
Cambridge United
Grimsby
Gillingham
Grimsby
Chesterfield
Grimsby
Crewe
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Grimsby
Harrogate Town
Grimsby
Barrow
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby
Oldham
Grimsby
Bromley
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Notts County
Grimsby
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
Walsall
Grimsby
Wolves
Grimsby
Accrington ST
Grimsby
Newport County
Swindon Town
Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
Swindon Town
Colchester
Swindon Town
Walsall
Swindon Town
Cambridge United
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere
Swindon Town
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
Crewe
Swindon Town
Barnet
Swindon Town
Shrewsbury
Swindon Town
Newport County
Swindon Town
Oldham
Swindon Town
Harrogate Town
Swindon Town
Barrow
Swindon Town
Notts County
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Crewe
Grimsby
Harrogate Town
Grimsby
Barrow
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby
Bromley
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Walsall
Grimsby
Wolves
Grimsby
Accrington ST
Grimsby
Milton Keynes Dons
Grimsby
Barnet
Grimsby
Weston-super-Mare
Grimsby
Shrewsbury
Grimsby
Oldham
Grimsby
Notts County
Grimsby
Wealdstone
Grimsby
Tranmere
Grimsby
Chesterfield
Grimsby
Ebbsfleet United
Swindon Town
Colchester
Swindon Town
Cambridge United
Swindon Town
Tranmere
Swindon Town
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
Barnet
Swindon Town
Shrewsbury
Swindon Town
Harrogate Town
Swindon Town
Notts County
Swindon Town
Bromley
Swindon Town
Salford City
Swindon Town
Cheltenham
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
Swindon Town
Rotherham
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
Swindon Town
Newport County
Swindon Town
Salford City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Grimsby
Home
|
46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Swindon Town
Away
|
46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|