FRANCE › LIGUE 2
09.05.2026 18:00
Stade des Alpes
Referee: K. Abed
Grenoble
Match Timeline
Estac Troyes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
Nesta Zahui
Grenoble
🔄
46'
N. Zahui ↔ E. Maurin
Grenoble
🔄
66'
S. Diawara ↔ P. Gozzi
Estac Troyes
🔄
67'
U. Bonnet ↔ M. Djitte
Grenoble
🔄
67'
M. Detourbet ↔ K. Diawara
Estac Troyes
🔄
67'
R. Ripart ↔ M. El Idrissy
Estac Troyes
🔄
72'
L. Bernadou ↔ M. Mion
Grenoble
🔄
76'
T. Bentayeb ↔ E. Odede
Estac Troyes
🔄
81'
S. Delos ↔ G. Paquiez
Grenoble
🔄
82'
S. Diba ↔ M. Bechikh
Grenoble
⚽
86'
M. Djitte · Assist: M. Bechikh
Grenoble

Grenoble vs Estac Troyes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Grenoble Win 20.5%
Draw 0%
Estac Troyes Win 79.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grenoble1.02
Estac Troyes1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grenoble Grenoble
WWDLW
38 GF / 41 GA
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
WLDWL
72 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
21
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
22
3.65
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grenoble Grenoble 36 matches
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 38 matches
Grenoble Statistic Estac Troyes
9 Wins 24
16 Draws 7
11 Losses 7
38 Goals For 72
41 Goals Against 37
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
21 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 29
15 Over 2.5 22
7 Over 3.5 12
10 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 6
3.65 Shots On Goal 5.11
10.32 Total Shots 13.38
3.56 Corners 4.41
44.1% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Estac Troyes's more proactive style and Grenoble's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Estac Troyes. Estac Troyes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 67 points while Grenoble sit 12 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Grenoble expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Estac Troyes in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estac Troyes having the stronger overall control.

Grenoble Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Grenoble have collected 36 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 15 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 32:39 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Diaby (9 goals), J. Benet (7 goals), N. Elphege (4 goals), with creative support from N. Elphege (3 assists), G. Paquiez (3 assists), Loris Mouyokolo (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Estac Troyes Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 67 points from 33 games, Estac Troyes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a 60:32 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on T. Bentayeb (18 goals), M. Adeline (10 goals), Renaud Ripart (5 goals), with creative support from M. Adeline (10 assists), A. Mille (5 assists), Mathys Detourbet (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Grenoble won 4 times, Estac Troyes won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:23 from Grenoble's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Grenoble 4-2-3-1 / Estac Troyes 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Grenoble wins 4, draws 3, Estac Troyes wins 7

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
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