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23.10.2026 18:30
Nuevo Los Cármenes
Referee: M. H. De Aza
Granada CF
Match Timeline
Valladolid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
S. Rodelas · Assist: J. M. Arnaiz
Granada CF
🟨
20'
Thiago Ojeda
Valladolid
🟨
50'
Julien Ponceau
Valladolid
🔄
52'
J. M. Arnaiz ↔ O. M. Chukwuemeka
Granada CF
⚽
57'
I. Garriel · Assist: J. Ponceau
Valladolid
🟨
61'
Juanjo Flores
Granada CF
🔄
65'
B. Diallo ↔ D. Varela Pampin
Granada CF
🔄
65'
S. Lopez ↔ P. Casadesus
Granada CF
🔄
65'
M. Jimenez Gambin ↔ C. Onouha
Granada CF
⚽
67'
J. Pascual · Assist: G. Gumbau
Granada CF
🔄
70'
T. Abed ↔ Y. Cabanzon
Valladolid
🔄
70'
V. Barbera ↔ R. van Duiven
Valladolid
🔄
70'
T. Ojeda ↔ K. de Rooij
Valladolid
🟨
73'
Iván Alejo
Valladolid
🔄
77'
S. Rodelas ↔ K. Bamba
Granada CF
🔄
81'
J. Ponceau ↔ M. Lachuer
Valladolid
🟨
86'
Mathis Lachuer
Valladolid
🔄
87'
A. Arnuncio ↔ Tommy Fernandez
Valladolid
🟥
90+7'
David Torres
Valladolid
VAR
90+6'
David Torres
Valladolid

Granada CF vs Valladolid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Granada CF Win 66.2%
Draw 12.8%
Valladolid Win 21%
Expected Goals (xG)
Granada CF1.47
Valladolid1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Granada CF Granada CF
W W W L L
10 GF / 8 GA
Valladolid Valladolid
L W D W D
13 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
8
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Granada CF Granada CF 17 matches
Valladolid Valladolid 15 matches
Granada CF Statistic Valladolid
9 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 5
28 Goals For 26
20 Goals Against 18
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
7 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
4.2 Shots On Goal 4.7
15.5 Total Shots 13.2
5 Corners 4.9
49.5% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Valladolid. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Granada CF expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Valladolid in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valladolid having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Granada CF Analysis

Granada CF are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 14:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by José Arnáiz (2 goals), Pedro Alemañ (2 goals), Alejandro Marqués (2 goals), with creative support from Manu Lama (2 assists), Sergio Rodelas (2 assists), Gumbau (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Valladolid Analysis

Valladolid are currently 11 in the standings with 12 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Adrian Arnuncio (3 goals), Juanmi Latasa (3 goals), J. Ponceau (2 goals), with creative support from Víctor Fernández (4 assists), J. Ponceau (3 assists), Adrian Arnuncio (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Granada CF won 6 times, Valladolid won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Granada CF's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Granada CF 4-2-3-1 / Valladolid 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Granada CF wins 6, draws 2, Valladolid wins 5

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 23:5 18 27
D W W L D
2 12 8 2 2 23:10 13 26
D D W W W
3 12 7 2 3 21:14 7 23
D L D L W
4 12 7 2 3 20:14 6 23
W W W W W
5 12 6 4 2 15:7 8 22
W D D W D
6 12 7 1 4 13:13 0 22
W L W W W
7 12 6 3 3 22:11 11 21
L W W D D
8 12 6 3 3 17:13 4 21
D W W L L
9 12 5 3 4 17:15 2 18
L D W W L
10 12 4 5 3 12:11 1 17
L D L W D
11 12 5 2 5 17:21 -4 17
W W L L D
12 12 5 1 6 19:22 -3 16
D W W L W
13 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L L W D
14 12 3 6 3 15:17 -2 15
D D D D L
15 12 4 2 6 13:17 -4 14
L L W W W
16 12 3 4 5 18:23 -5 13
D L D W L
17 12 3 3 6 10:20 -10 12
L D L L L
18 12 3 2 7 17:22 -5 11
D L L W D
19 12 3 2 7 15:22 -7 11
W L L L L
20 12 2 4 6 15:16 -1 10
L W L L W
21 12 2 1 9 10:23 -13 7
W W L L L
22 12 1 2 9 10:27 -17 5
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation