SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Referee: A. Moreno
Granada CF
Match Timeline
Sporting Gijon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
J. M. Arnaiz · Assist: J. Pascual
Granada CF
🟨
27'
Kevin Vázquez
Sporting Gijon
🟨
34'
Rubén Alcaraz
Granada CF
45'
D. Hormigo
Sporting Gijon
🔄
46'
C. Gelabert Pina ↔ G. Campos
Sporting Gijon
🔄
60'
P. Saenz ↔ B. Diocou
Granada CF
🔄
61'
M. Trigueros ↔ S. Ruiz
Granada CF
🟨
68'
Justin Smith
Sporting Gijon
🔄
73'
J. Otero ↔ P. Garcia
Sporting Gijon
🔄
73'
K. Vazquez ↔ B. Olivan
Sporting Gijon
🔄
73'
L. Perrin ↔ E. Curbelo
Sporting Gijon
🔄
73'
M. Rodriguez ↔ J. Bernal
Sporting Gijon
🔄
81'
M. Lama ↔ B. Diallo
Granada CF
🔄
81'
I. Gonzalez ↔ M. Gambin
Granada CF
🔄
85'
J. M. Arnaiz ↔ S. Rodelas
Granada CF
90'
B. Olivan · Assist: J. Dubasin
Sporting Gijon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Granada CF Win 57%
Draw 6.6%
Sporting Gijon Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Granada CF1.26
Sporting Gijon1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Granada CF Granada CF
WWDLW
56 GF / 58 GA
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
WLDWL
61 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
23
BTTS Yes
24
19
Over 2.5
22
3.66
Shots on Goal
4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Granada CF Granada CF 44 matches
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 44 matches
Granada CF Statistic Sporting Gijon
14 Wins 19
12 Draws 7
18 Losses 18
56 Goals For 61
58 Goals Against 55
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
23 BTTS Yes 24
28 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 9
3.66 Shots On Goal 4.35
11.32 Total Shots 11.07
4.16 Corners 4.51
47.2% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Sporting Gijon's more proactive style and Granada CF's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Granada CF expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sporting Gijon in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Gijon having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting Gijon. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Granada CF Analysis

Granada CF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 48 points from 40 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 12 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 48:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Jorge Pascual (8 goals), J. M. Arnaiz (7 goals), P. Aleman (6 goals), with creative support from S. Faye (6 assists), P. Aleman (4 assists), A. Sola (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sporting Gijon Analysis

With 55 points from 40 games and a place of 12, Sporting Gijon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 16 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 55:52 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Dubasin (16 goals), J. Otero (13 goals), C. Gelabert Pina (8 goals), with creative support from J. Otero (12 assists), G. Rosas (7 assists), J. Dubasin (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Granada CF won 6 times, Sporting Gijon won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Granada CF's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Granada CF 4-3-3 / Sporting Gijon 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Granada CF wins 6, draws 2, Sporting Gijon wins 7
Stats
Granada CF Granada CF
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 0
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
497 Total passes 351
435 Passes accurate 283
1.14 expected_goals 0.38
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Granada CF
Formation
Sporting Gijon
A. Astralaga
A. Astralaga
P. Casadesus
P. Casadesus
Juanjo
Juanjo
M. Lama
M. Lama
D. Hormigo
D. Hormigo
R. Alcaraz
R. Alcaraz
P. Saenz
P. Saenz
I. Gonzalez
I. Gonzalez
M. Trigueros
M. Trigueros
J. M. Arnaiz
J. M. Arnaiz
J. Pascual
🎯
J. Pascual
R. Yanez
R. Yanez
K. Vazquez
K. Vazquez
P. Vazquez
P. Vazquez
L. Perrin
L. Perrin
A. Cuenca
A. Cuenca
M. Rodriguez
M. Rodriguez
J. Smith
J. Smith
A. Corredera
A. Corredera
C. Gelabert Pina
C. Gelabert Pina
J. Otero
J. Otero
J. Dubasin
🎯
J. Dubasin
Granada CF 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
A. Astralaga
G
2
P. Casadesus
D
36
Juanjo
D
5
M. Lama
↓ 81'
D
3
D. Hormigo
⚽ 45'
D
4
R. Alcaraz
🟨 34'
M
21
P. Saenz
↓ 60'
M
41
I. Gonzalez
↓ 81'
M
14
M. Trigueros
↓ 61'
M
11
J. M. Arnaiz
⚽ 2' ↓ 85'
M
19
J. Pascual
🎯 2'
F
Substitutes
34
I. Garcia
G
20
S. Ruiz
↑ 61'
M
22
B. Diallo
↑ 81'
D
9
G. Petit
F
28
O. Naasei
D
40
B. Diocou
↑ 60'
F
26
S. Rodelas
↑ 85'
F
27
M. Gambin
↑ 81'
M
39
B. Dembele
D
42
P. Jimenez
D
43
O. M. Chukwuemeka
F
32
D. Rodriguez
M
Sporting Gijon 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
R. Yanez
G
20
K. Vazquez
↓ 73' 🟨 27'
D
15
P. Vazquez
D
4
L. Perrin
↓ 73'
D
44
A. Cuenca
D
36
M. Rodriguez
↓ 73'
M
24
J. Smith
🟨 68'
M
14
A. Corredera
M
10
C. Gelabert Pina
↓ 46'
F
19
J. Otero
↓ 73'
F
17
J. Dubasin
🎯 90'
F
Substitutes
13
C. Joel
G
30
I. Venteo
G
3
P. Garcia
↑ 73'
D
18
A. Coundoul
F
12
B. Olivan
⚽ 90' ↑ 73'
D
23
E. Curbelo
↑ 73'
D
8
J. Bernal
↑ 73'
M
7
G. Campos
↑ 46'
M
11
D. Queipo
F
Last matches: Granada CF
08.08.26
Fri
Granada CF
Antequera
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Granada CF
Cadiz
0
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Almeria
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Real Betis
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
NEOM
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Juventud Torremolinos
1
1
D
24.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Mirandes
1
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Burgos
0
1
L
10.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Cordoba
0
1
L
01.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Zaragoza
1
0
W
26.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Almeria
2
4
L
19.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Albacete
1
4
L
12.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Cultural Leonesa
1
0
W
06.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Castellón
2
3
L
02.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Las Palmas
0
2
L
28.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
Huesca
4
2
W
22.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
Real Sociedad II
2
0
W
15.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
FC Andorra
1
1
D
08.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
Deportivo La Coruna
2
0
W
28.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Malaga
0
1
L
Last matches: Sporting Gijon
08.08.26
Fri
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
2
4
L
07.08.26
Fri
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Sporting Gijon
Gimnástica Torrelavega
5
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sporting Gijon
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Sporting Gijon
Marino de Luanco
2
1
W
24.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
3
1
W
17.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
3
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
1
2
L
03.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
AD Ceuta FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cordoba
2
3
L
19.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
3
0
W
11.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
0
1
L
06.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Real Sociedad II
1
0
W
01.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
1
3
L
28.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
22.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
0
1
L
15.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Castellón
4
1
W
08.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
0
1
L
02.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Leganes
0
0
D
22.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
2
2
D
H2H: Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon
30.05.26
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2
L
13.12.25
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
1
0
L
26.01.25
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
3
1
W
16.11.24
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
1
2
W
02.04.23
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
1
0
L
13.10.22
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
5
0
W
12.04.19
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
1
0
L
23.11.18
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2
L
27.05.18
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
2
1
L
20.12.17
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
1
W
19.03.17
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
3
1
L
22.10.16
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
0
0
D
03.03.16
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
19.10.15
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
3
3
D
17.03.12
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
1
W
Last matches: Granada CF
29.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Almeria
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Real Betis
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
NEOM
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Granada CF
Juventud Torremolinos
1
1
D
16.05.26
Seg
Granada CF
Burgos
0
1
L
26.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Almeria
2
4
L
12.04.26
Seg
Granada CF
Cultural Leonesa
1
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
Huesca
4
2
W
15.03.26
Seg
Granada CF
FC Andorra
1
1
D
28.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Malaga
0
1
L
14.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Valladolid
5
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Granada CF
Polessya
3
4
L
01.02.26
Seg
Granada CF
Racing Santander
1
0
W
19.01.26
Seg
Granada CF
Eibar
0
0
D
11.01.26
Seg
Granada CF
Castellón
0
0
D
06.01.26
Cop
Granada CF
Rayo Vallecano
1
3
L
21.12.25
Seg
Granada CF
Albacete
1
1
D
07.12.25
Seg
Granada CF
AD Ceuta FC
1
1
D
22.11.25
Seg
Granada CF
Cordoba
1
1
D
09.11.25
Seg
Granada CF
Zaragoza
3
1
W
H2H at home: Granada CF
30.05.26
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2
L
26.01.25
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
3
1
W
13.10.22
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
5
0
W
23.11.18
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2
L
20.12.17
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
1
W
22.10.16
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
0
0
D
03.03.16
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
17.03.12
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
1
W
Last matches: Sporting Gijon
07.08.26
Fri
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Sporting Gijon
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Sporting Gijon
Marino de Luanco
2
1
W
17.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
3
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cordoba
2
3
L
11.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
0
1
L
01.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
1
3
L
22.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
0
1
L
08.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
0
1
L
15.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Albacete
1
1
D
01.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Eibar
0
1
L
17.01.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cultural Leonesa
4
2
W
09.01.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
2
3
L
20.12.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Leganes
1
0
W
06.12.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Real Sociedad II
1
0
W
03.12.25
Cop
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
2
0
W
23.11.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Huesca
0
2
L
07.11.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
1
2
L
29.10.25
Cop
Sporting Gijon
Caudal
1
0
W
H2H away: Sporting Gijon
30.05.26
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2
W
26.01.25
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
3
1
L
13.10.22
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
5
0
L
23.11.18
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
1
2
W
20.12.17
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
1
L
22.10.16
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
0
0
D
03.03.16
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
0
L
17.03.12
H2H
Granada CF
Sporting Gijon
2
1
L

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation