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18.10.2026 10:15
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland
Gornik Zabrze
Match Timeline
Piast Gliwice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
R. Janicki · Assist: E. Janza
Gornik Zabrze
⚽
7'
H. Vallejo
Piast Gliwice
🟨
59'
Jakub Lewicki
Piast Gliwice
🔄
60'
S. Liseth ↔ E. Prekop
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
68'
A. Katsantonis ↔ S. Mucha
Piast Gliwice
🔄
68'
J. Labojko ↔ O. Lesniak
Piast Gliwice
🔄
71'
M. Khlan ↔ Z. Inoussa
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
71'
Peter Federico ↔ Y. Ikia Dimi
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
85'
P. Bernardo ↔ J. Kubicki
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
86'
J. Lewicki ↔ E. Fikaj
Piast Gliwice
🔄
86'
S. Ntamack ↔ O. Maziarz
Piast Gliwice
🟨
89'
Elton Fikaj
Piast Gliwice

Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gornik Zabrze Win 50.8%
Draw 4.9%
Piast Gliwice Win 44.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gornik Zabrze1.53
Piast Gliwice1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
W L D W W
7 GF / 4 GA
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
W L L W W
11 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
15
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
9
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 25 matches
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 20 matches
Gornik Zabrze Statistic Piast Gliwice
14 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 9
37 Goals For 27
27 Goals Against 32
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
15 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 6
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.8
12.88 Total Shots 14.3
5.38 Corners 4.9
45.9% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Piast Gliwice. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gornik Zabrze expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Piast Gliwice in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Piast Gliwice having the stronger overall control. Gornik Zabrze arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 25 points compared to Piast Gliwice in 9 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Gornik Zabrze come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gornik Zabrze Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 25 points from 10 games, Gornik Zabrze bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:9, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Urbański (4 goals), Peter (4 goals), E. Prekop (2 goals), with creative support from S. Liseth (2 assists), K. Urbański (1 assists), Josema Sánchez (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Piast Gliwice Analysis

Piast Gliwice sit 9 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Sanca (2 goals), Hugo Vallejo (2 goals), S. Ntamack Ndimba (1 goals), with creative support from Leandro Sanca (1 assists), S. Ntamack Ndimba (1 assists), J. Lewicki (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 4 times, Piast Gliwice won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Gornik Zabrze's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3 / Piast Gliwice 4-4-2
H2H summary: Gornik Zabrze wins 4, draws 6, Piast Gliwice wins 5

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 32:11 21 31
W W W W W
2 13 8 4 1 21:11 10 28
D D D W D
3 13 6 6 1 23:11 12 24
D L D W W
4 12 7 3 2 20:12 8 24
L W W W W
5 14 7 3 4 22:19 3 24
W L W D L
6 13 6 4 3 16:15 1 22
W D W L L
7 13 7 0 6 25:19 6 21
W L L W W
8 13 6 3 4 24:20 4 21
D W D W L
9 14 5 4 5 22:24 -2 19
W W D W W
10 12 6 0 6 17:18 -1 18
W W L L L
11 13 5 3 5 14:19 -5 18
L W L L W
12 13 4 3 6 14:21 -7 15
L D L W L
13 14 3 3 8 16:23 -7 12
L L L D W
14 13 1 8 4 17:19 -2 11
L D D L D
15 13 3 2 8 15:29 -14 11
W L L L L
16 13 2 3 8 17:25 -8 9
L W L L L
17 13 3 0 10 19:29 -10 9
W L W L L
18 13 2 2 9 17:26 -9 8
L L L L W
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation