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15.11.2026 11:00
Centralnyj Stadion

Gomel II vs Smorgon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gomel II Win 26.4%
Draw 23.6%
Smorgon Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gomel II1.37
Smorgon1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gomel II Gomel II
L L W L L
8 GF / 14 GA
Smorgon Smorgon
L L L W W
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.19
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
20
BTTS Yes
13
22
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gomel II Gomel II 32 matches
Smorgon Smorgon 36 matches
Gomel II Statistic Smorgon
6 Wins 13
6 Draws 7
20 Losses 16
44 Goals For 43
69 Goals Against 49
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
20 BTTS Yes 13
27 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 14
16 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Smorgon. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Smorgon having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II sit 16 with 24 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 44:69, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Smorgon Analysis

Smorgon sit 11 with 39 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 37:43, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Gomel II won 0 times, Smorgon won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Gomel II's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.4%)
H2H summary: Gomel II wins 0, draws 0, Smorgon wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 22 5 6 85:39 46 71
W W W D W
2 33 21 7 5 64:32 32 70
D W L W W
3 33 22 3 8 61:47 14 69
L W W W W
4 32 19 6 7 70:38 32 63
D W W L W
5 33 17 5 11 55:41 14 56
W L L L W
6 33 14 9 10 64:49 15 51
D L W W D
7 32 16 3 13 55:51 4 51
W W L L L
8 32 13 5 14 59:52 7 44
W L L L L
9 32 13 5 14 47:56 -9 44
W W W L D
10 33 10 13 10 46:47 -1 43
L D W W D
11 32 11 6 15 37:43 -6 39
L L L W W
12 31 11 5 15 43:46 -3 38
L L L W L
13 32 11 3 18 46:61 -15 36
L W L W L
14 32 10 6 16 40:59 -19 36
W W W L L
15 32 8 10 14 34:42 -8 34
D W L D W
16 32 6 6 20 44:69 -25 24
L L W L L
17 32 6 6 20 36:81 -45 24
D L L W D
18 31 5 7 19 40:73 -33 22
L L L L D