BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Centralnyj Stadion
Gomel II
Match Timeline
Ostrovets FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
A. Rakhmatov
Gomel II
🔄
57'
N. Yakimovich ↔ R. Medvedev
Ostrovets FC
🔄
69'
E. Barsukov ↔ S. Krivorot
Gomel II
🟨
70'
N. Mayorov
Gomel II
🔄
71'
E. Mikhey ↔ A. Fedosenko
Ostrovets FC
🔄
71'
A. Kotlyarov ↔ M. Kalinovskiy
Ostrovets FC
🔄
77'
N. Starostenko ↔ R. Shapovalov
Gomel II
🔄
81'
M. Boychenko ↔ E. Kudinov
Ostrovets FC
🔄
81'
K. Goncharik ↔ D. Tsyk
Ostrovets FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gomel II Win 29.6%
Draw 26%
Ostrovets FC Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gomel II1.33
Ostrovets FC1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gomel II Gomel II
WWDLW
8 GF / 8 GA
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
WLDWL
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gomel II Gomel II 6 matches
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 6 matches
Gomel II Statistic Ostrovets FC
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
8 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 8
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
2 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ostrovets FC having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ostrovets FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II sit 12 with 7 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Emeljanov (4 goals), A. Savitskiy (2 goals), A. Achapovskiy (1 goals), with creative support from A. Savitskiy (2 assists), A. Bondarchuk (2 assists), K. Lipnitskiy (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ostrovets FC Analysis

Ostrovets FC sit 13 with 6 points after 6 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Goncharik (2 goals), I. Mokshin (1 goals), M. Boychenko (1 goals), with creative support from K. Goncharik (2 assists), N. Yakimovich (1 assists), A. Fedosenko (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 3 5 57:26 31 45
W L W W W
2 22 13 5 4 43:23 20 44
W D D L L
3 22 13 3 6 42:35 7 42
W W L W W
4 22 12 5 5 43:26 17 41
W L W L L
5 22 12 2 8 38:34 4 38
W W W W D
6 22 11 3 8 40:28 12 36
L W L W L
7 22 10 4 8 41:33 8 34
L W W L W
8 22 9 4 9 40:35 5 31
W W L L L
9 22 9 4 9 37:39 -2 31
L L L D D
10 22 8 5 9 42:40 2 29
L L L L W
11 22 9 2 11 30:38 -8 29
L D W L W
12 22 6 9 7 27:31 -4 27
W W L W W
13 22 7 4 11 25:40 -15 25
W L L D L
14 22 6 6 10 21:28 -7 24
L W D D W
15 22 6 5 11 26:33 -7 23
L L W W L
16 22 5 6 11 30:39 -9 21
D L L W L
17 22 4 6 12 31:51 -20 18
D W W L L
18 22 5 2 15 23:57 -34 17
L W D W L