BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Centralnyj Stadion
Gomel II
Match Timeline
Osipovichy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
N. Starostenko
Gomel II
🟥
22'
D. Ssorin
Osipovichy
23'
D. Emeljanov
Gomel II
39'
A. Savitskiy · Assist: M. Drozdov
Gomel II
🟨
41'
O. Petrovsky
Osipovichy
43'
E. Barsukov · Assist: D. Emeljanov
Gomel II
🔄
46'
N. Starostenko ↔ N. Mayorov
Gomel II
🔄
46'
T. Kovardaev ↔ D. Kulikov
Osipovichy
🔄
46'
V. Drapeza ↔ A. Emeljanov
Osipovichy
49'
E. Barsukov · Assist: D. Emeljanov
Gomel II
🟨
53'
A. Kukhotskovolets
Osipovichy
56'
D. Emeljanov · Assist: K. Lipnitskiy
Gomel II
🔄
61'
E. Barsukov ↔ R. Shapovalov
Gomel II
🔄
61'
M. Drozdov ↔ D. Grishkov
Gomel II
🔄
61'
M. Makarov ↔ R. Gurinovich
Osipovichy
🔄
61'
I. Alekseev ↔ E. Elezarenko
Osipovichy
🔄
66'
A. Grin ↔ M. Azarov
Osipovichy
66'
A. Emeljanov · Assist: S. Lomako
Osipovichy
🟨
75'
E. Troyakov
Gomel II
77'
M. Azarov · Assist: M. Zhordochkin
Osipovichy
🟨
80'
M. Zhordochkin
Osipovichy
🔄
85'
A. Rakhmatov ↔ M. Kabysh
Gomel II
🔄
88'
E. Troyakov ↔ V. Nanaev
Gomel II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gomel II Win 78.7%
Draw 10.6%
Osipovichy Win 10.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gomel II1.87
Osipovichy1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gomel II Gomel II
WWDLW
14 GF / 18 GA
Osipovichy Osipovichy
WLDWL
13 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.92
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gomel II Gomel II 12 matches
Osipovichy Osipovichy 13 matches
Gomel II Statistic Osipovichy
2 Wins 1
4 Draws 1
6 Losses 11
14 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 38
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.92
7 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Gomel II arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 15 with 10 points compared to Osipovichy in 18 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Osipovichy. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Osipovichy having the stronger overall control.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II sit 15 with 10 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Emeljanov (6 goals), A. Savitskiy (4 goals), K. Lipnitskiy (3 goals), with creative support from A. Savitskiy (4 assists), A. Bondarchuk (2 assists), K. Lipnitskiy (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Osipovichy Analysis

Osipovichy approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 1 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 10 defeats with a 10:35 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Zimin (2 goals), D. Lapin (2 goals), A. Grin (1 goals), with creative support from D. Denisenko (1 assists), A. Matlakh (1 assists), I. Alekseev (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Gomel II won 3 times, Osipovichy won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Gomel II's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.4%)
H2H summary: Gomel II wins 3, draws 0, Osipovichy wins 0

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 3 5 57:26 31 45
W L W W W
2 22 13 5 4 43:23 20 44
W D D L L
3 22 13 3 6 42:35 7 42
W W L W W
4 22 12 5 5 43:26 17 41
W L W L L
5 22 12 2 8 38:34 4 38
W W W W D
6 22 11 3 8 40:28 12 36
L W L W L
7 22 10 4 8 41:33 8 34
L W W L W
8 22 9 4 9 40:35 5 31
W W L L L
9 22 9 4 9 37:39 -2 31
L L L D D
10 22 8 5 9 42:40 2 29
L L L L W
11 22 9 2 11 30:38 -8 29
L D W L W
12 22 6 9 7 27:31 -4 27
W W L W W
13 22 7 4 11 25:40 -15 25
W L L D L
14 22 6 6 10 21:28 -7 24
L W D D W
15 22 6 5 11 26:33 -7 23
L L W W L
16 22 5 6 11 30:39 -9 21
D L L W L
17 22 4 6 12 31:51 -20 18
D W W L L
18 22 5 2 15 23:57 -34 17
L W D W L