BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
14.06.2026 11:00
Centralnyj Stadion
Gomel II
Match Timeline
Niva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
P. Sergutko
Gomel II
⚽
50'
D. Fedortsov · Assist: D. Galuza
Niva
🔄
63'
P. Pampukha ↔ V. Bondarenko
Niva
🔄
66'
R. Shapovalov ↔ D. Emeljanov
Gomel II
🔄
66'
N. Starostenko ↔ D. Grishkov
Gomel II
⚽
69'
V. Shcherbo · Assist: D. Galuza
Niva
⚽
70'
A. Savitskiy
Gomel II
🔄
74'
R. Kozel ↔ V. Shubovich
Niva
🔄
80'
A. Kuratnik ↔ M. Druchik
Niva
🔄
80'
V. Dybin ↔ E. Mashagin
Niva
🔄
80'
D. Fedortsov ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🟨
83'
A. Rakhmatov
Gomel II
🟨
89'
E. Mashagin
Niva

Gomel II vs Niva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gomel II Win 26.9%
Draw 23.3%
Niva Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gomel II1.43
Niva1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gomel II Gomel II
WWDLW
12 GF / 14 GA
Niva Niva
WLDWL
20 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
5
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gomel II Gomel II 10 matches
Niva Niva 13 matches
Gomel II Statistic Niva
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
12 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 23
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
5 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Niva's more proactive style and Gomel II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Niva having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Niva.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 9 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on D. Emeljanov (5 goals), A. Savitskiy (3 goals), K. Lipnitskiy (3 goals), with creative support from A. Savitskiy (2 assists), A. Bondarchuk (2 assists), K. Lipnitskiy (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Niva Analysis

Niva sit 9 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:13 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by D. Fedortsov (6 goals), P. Pampukha (3 goals), I. Monich (2 goals), with creative support from D. Fedortsov (2 assists), D. Galuza (2 assists), D. Sibilev (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Gomel II won 1 times, Niva won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Gomel II's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
H2H summary: Gomel II wins 1, draws 0, Niva wins 2

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Niva Away
25 16 3 6 63:31 32 51
L W W W L
2 25 15 6 4 48:24 24 51
W W D W D
3 25 15 3 7 47:42 5 48
L W W W W
4 25 14 5 6 48:30 18 47
W L W W L
5 25 14 3 8 44:36 8 45
W D W W W
6 25 13 4 8 46:30 16 43
W D W L W
7 25 11 4 10 47:37 10 37
W L L L W
8 25 10 6 9 49:43 6 36
W W D L L
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 25 10 4 11 40:44 -4 34
L L W L L
11 25 8 9 8 35:37 -2 33
L W W W W
12 25 8 6 11 30:34 -4 30
W W D L L
13 25 9 3 13 36:46 -10 30
D L L L D
14 25 7 5 13 27:46 -19 26
L D L W L
15 25 6 7 12 24:34 -10 25
L L D L W
16 25 5 6 14 33:48 -15 21
L L L D L
17 25 5 6 14 34:58 -24 21
L W L D W
18 25 5 3 17 26:62 -36 18
D L L L W