BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Centralnyj Stadion
Gomel II
Match Timeline
Niva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
P. Sergutko
Gomel II
50'
D. Fedortsov · Assist: D. Galuza
Niva
🔄
63'
P. Pampukha ↔ V. Bondarenko
Niva
🔄
66'
R. Shapovalov ↔ D. Emeljanov
Gomel II
🔄
66'
N. Starostenko ↔ D. Grishkov
Gomel II
69'
V. Shcherbo · Assist: D. Galuza
Niva
70'
A. Savitskiy
Gomel II
🔄
74'
R. Kozel ↔ V. Shubovich
Niva
🔄
80'
A. Kuratnik ↔ M. Druchik
Niva
🔄
80'
V. Dybin ↔ E. Mashagin
Niva
🔄
80'
D. Fedortsov ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🟨
83'
A. Rakhmatov
Gomel II
🟨
89'
E. Mashagin
Niva

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gomel II Win 26.9%
Draw 23.3%
Niva Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gomel II1.43
Niva1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gomel II Gomel II
WWDLW
12 GF / 14 GA
Niva Niva
WLDWL
20 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
5
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gomel II Gomel II 10 matches
Niva Niva 13 matches
Gomel II Statistic Niva
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
12 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 23
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
5 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Niva's more proactive style and Gomel II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Niva having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Niva.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 9 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on D. Emeljanov (5 goals), A. Savitskiy (3 goals), K. Lipnitskiy (3 goals), with creative support from A. Savitskiy (2 assists), A. Bondarchuk (2 assists), K. Lipnitskiy (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Niva Analysis

Niva sit 9 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:13 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by D. Fedortsov (6 goals), P. Pampukha (3 goals), I. Monich (2 goals), with creative support from D. Fedortsov (2 assists), D. Galuza (2 assists), D. Sibilev (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Gomel II won 1 times, Niva won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Gomel II's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
H2H summary: Gomel II wins 1, draws 0, Niva wins 2

Lineups

Gomel II
Formation
Niva
A. Ryzhchenko
A. Ryzhchenko
A. Bondarchuk
A. Bondarchuk
K. Lipnitskiy
K. Lipnitskiy
M. Drozdov
M. Drozdov
P. Sergutko
P. Sergutko
N. Starostenko
N. Starostenko
A. Savitskiy
A. Savitskiy
A. Achapovskiy
A. Achapovskiy
A. Rakhmatov
A. Rakhmatov
R. Shapovalov
R. Shapovalov
E. Troyakov
E. Troyakov
N. Dovnar
N. Dovnar
R. Kozel
R. Kozel
V. Shcherbo
V. Shcherbo
A. Tkhagalegov
A. Tkhagalegov
N. Leshkevich
N. Leshkevich
D. Sibilev
D. Sibilev
A. Kuratnik
A. Kuratnik
V. Dybin
V. Dybin
D. Galuza
🎯
D. Galuza
D. Fedortsov
D. Fedortsov
P. Pampukha
P. Pampukha
Gomel II 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
88
A. Ryzhchenko
2
A. Bondarchuk
3
K. Lipnitskiy
7
M. Drozdov
8
P. Sergutko
🟨 15'
9
N. Starostenko
↓ 66'
10
A. Savitskiy
⚽ 70'
11
A. Achapovskiy
15
A. Rakhmatov
🟨 83'
20
R. Shapovalov
↓ 66'
30
E. Troyakov
Substitutes
87
V. Voropaev
17
M. Kabysh
22
M. Glushko
23
D. Emeljanov
↑ 66'
27
E. Tishkov
33
V. Nanaev
54
A. Bondarenko
72
D. Grishkov
↑ 66'
91
D. Gegechkori
Niva 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
N. Dovnar
88
R. Kozel
↓ 74'
18
V. Shcherbo
⚽ 69'
41
A. Tkhagalegov
21
N. Leshkevich
8
D. Sibilev
9
A. Kuratnik
↓ 80'
10
V. Dybin
↓ 80'
7
D. Galuza
🎯 50' 🎯 69'
23
D. Fedortsov
⚽ 50' ↓ 80'
29
P. Pampukha
↓ 63'
Substitutes
35
D. Kashtelyan
91
A. Voronovich
3
M. Druchik
↑ 80'
69
E. Mashagin
↑ 80' 🟨 89'
47
V. Skomarovskiy
↑ 80'
20
A. Martysevich
99
V. Bondarenko
↑ 63'
77
V. Shubovich
↑ 74'
Last matches: Gomel II
12.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Bumprom
1
1
D
03.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Minsk II
3
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Osipovichy
5
2
W
19.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
27.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Dinamo Minsk II
2
2
D
15.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Slonim
1
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Gomel II
BATE II
3
4
L
24.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Uni Minsk
2
0
W
20.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
0
D
06.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Orsha
0
1
L
Last matches: Niva
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Niva
Uni Minsk
3
1
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
H2H: Gomel II vs Niva
14.06.26
H2H
Gomel II
Niva
1
2
L
21.09.25
H2H
Gomel II
Niva
1
0
W
18.05.25
H2H
Niva
Gomel II
1
0
L
Last matches: Gomel II
12.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Bumprom
1
1
D
27.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Osipovichy
5
2
W
31.05.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
15.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
01.05.26
1.
Gomel II
BATE II
3
4
L
20.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Orsha
0
1
L
H2H at home: Gomel II
14.06.26
H2H
Gomel II
Niva
1
2
L
21.09.25
H2H
Gomel II
Niva
1
0
W
Last matches: Niva
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
27.06.26
1.
Niva
Uni Minsk
3
1
W
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
H2H away: Niva
14.06.26
H2H
Gomel II
Niva
1
2
W
21.09.25
H2H
Gomel II
Niva
1
0
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5
Niva Away
15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9 15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation