BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Centralnyj Stadion
Gomel II
Match Timeline
Bumprom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
E. Barsukov
Gomel II
19'
K. Sidorenko
Bumprom
🟨
42'
A. Miroevskiy
Bumprom
🔄
46'
S. Krivorot ↔ D. Emeljanov
Gomel II
🔄
59'
V. Kabyshev ↔ I. Grudko
Bumprom
🔄
59'
A. Miroevskiy ↔ N. Ovsyanik
Bumprom
🔄
62'
P. Sergutko ↔ N. Mayorov
Gomel II
🟨
67'
G. Vershinin
Bumprom
🔄
70'
K. Sidorenko ↔ I. Zhestkin
Bumprom
🔄
74'
M. Drozdov ↔ A. Bondarchuk
Gomel II
🔄
86'
V. Martinkevich ↔ R. Shapovalov
Gomel II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gomel II Win 27.3%
Draw 8.7%
Bumprom Win 64%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gomel II1.54
Bumprom1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gomel II Gomel II
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Bumprom Bumprom
WLDWL
34 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gomel II Gomel II 14 matches
Bumprom Bumprom 18 matches
Gomel II Statistic Bumprom
4 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
6 Losses 8
22 Goals For 34
20 Goals Against 27
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bumprom having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bumprom.

Gomel II Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Gomel II have collected 16 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 22:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Bumprom Analysis

So far, Bumprom have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 23 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 29:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Gomel II won 0 times, Bumprom won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Gomel II's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
H2H summary: Gomel II wins 0, draws 1, Bumprom wins 1
Last matches: Gomel II
03.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Minsk II
3
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Osipovichy
5
2
W
19.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Lida
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Niva
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
27.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Dinamo Minsk II
2
2
D
15.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Slonim
1
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Gomel II
BATE II
3
4
L
24.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Uni Minsk
2
0
W
20.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
0
D
06.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Orsha
0
1
L
Last matches: Bumprom
04.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Orsha
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Volna
1
2
L
20.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Smorgon
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Shakhter Soligorsk
6
2
W
06.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Minsk II
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Osipovichy
5
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Lida
2
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Niva
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
0
W
03.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Dinamo Minsk II
4
3
W
18.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Ostrovets FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Slonim
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
Belshina
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Bumprom
Slavia Mozyr
1
2
L
H2H: Gomel II vs Bumprom
31.08.25
H2H
Bumprom
Gomel II
3
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Gomel II
Bumprom
1
1
D
Last matches: Gomel II
27.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Osipovichy
5
2
W
14.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Niva
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
15.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
01.05.26
1.
Gomel II
BATE II
3
4
L
20.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Orsha
0
1
L
H2H at home: Gomel II
27.04.25
H2H
Gomel II
Bumprom
1
1
D
Last matches: Bumprom
27.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Volna
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Minsk II
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Lida
2
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
0
W
25.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Dinamo Minsk II
4
3
W
13.03.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Bumprom
Slavia Mozyr
1
2
L
H2H away: Bumprom
27.04.25
H2H
Gomel II
Bumprom
1
1
D

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
7 14 7 2 5 23:21 2 23
W W W W W
8 14 7 2 5 29:20 9 23
L L W W D
9 14 6 4 4 29:18 11 22
L L W L W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 14 4 4 6 22:20 2 16
W W L L D
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation