BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Goiatuba EC
Match Timeline
Brasiliense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Vini Hora
Goiatuba EC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.4%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goiatuba EC Win 63.4%
Draw 4.3%
Brasiliense Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goiatuba EC1.07
Brasiliense0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WWDLW
13 GF / 7 GA
Brasiliense Brasiliense
WLDWL
11 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
4
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 11 matches
Brasiliense Brasiliense 11 matches
Goiatuba EC Statistic Brasiliense
5 Wins 3
5 Draws 6
1 Losses 2
13 Goals For 11
7 Goals Against 10
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
4 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 7
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brasiliense having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Brasiliense.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Goiatuba EC enter this tie with a season profile built on 19 points from 10 matches, placing them 2 in their league. With 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 13:7, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Gabriel Silva (3 goals), Thalles (3 goals), Daniel Costa (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, the return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Brasiliense Analysis

Brasiliense enter this tie with a season profile built on 14 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. The return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Tarta (4 goals), Marlone (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Goiatuba EC won 1 times, Brasiliense won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Goiatuba EC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Goiatuba EC wins 1, draws 1, Brasiliense wins 0
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
26.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
3
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
Last matches: Brasiliense
21.06.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Primavera MG
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Luverdense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Inhumas
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Gama
2
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Gama
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Inhumas
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Luverdense
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
H2H: Goiatuba EC vs Brasiliense
27.06.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
21.06.26
H2H
Brasiliense
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
18.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
3
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cascavel
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Uberlandia
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cianorte
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Monte Azul
1
1
D
18.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
04.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Itabirito
0
0
D
20.04.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
3
L
H2H at home: Goiatuba EC
27.06.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
Last matches: Brasiliense
07.06.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Primavera MG
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Gama
2
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Inhumas
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Brasiliense
Luverdense
0
0
D
H2H away: Brasiliense
27.06.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
L

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)