BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Goiatuba EC
Match Timeline
ASA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
ASA
ASA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
59.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goiatuba EC Win 40.2%
Draw 19.4%
ASA Win 40.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goiatuba EC1.04
ASA1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WWDLW
21 GF / 10 GA
ASA ASA
WLDWL
25 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
6
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 16 matches
ASA ASA 16 matches
Goiatuba EC Statistic ASA
9 Wins 9
5 Draws 5
2 Losses 2
21 Goals For 25
10 Goals Against 10
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
6 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ASA. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ASA having the stronger overall control.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Goiatuba EC enter this tie with a season profile built on 19 points from 10 matches, placing them 2 in their league. The return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 13:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

ASA Analysis

ASA enter this tie with a season profile built on 16 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 11:7 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Goiatuba EC won 0 times, ASA won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Goiatuba EC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.6%)
H2H summary: Goiatuba EC wins 0, draws 2, ASA wins 0
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
16.08.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
ASA
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
3
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
Last matches: ASA
16.08.26
Ser
ASA
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
5
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
H2H: Goiatuba EC vs ASA
16.08.26
H2H
ASA
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
08.08.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
ASA
0
0
D
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
18.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
3
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cascavel
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Uberlandia
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cianorte
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Monte Azul
1
1
D
18.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
04.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Itabirito
0
0
D
20.04.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
3
L
H2H at home: Goiatuba EC
08.08.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
ASA
0
0
D
Last matches: ASA
18.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
1
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
ASA
União Carmolandense
4
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
1
W
20.04.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
H2H away: ASA
08.08.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
ASA
0
0
D

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)