BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: R. Abatti
Goias
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
Perotti · Assist: Biel Fonseca
Sport Recife
🟨
31'
Kadu
Goias
🔄
46'
Juninho ↔ Lourenço
Goias
🔄
61'
Jean Carlos ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
61'
Diego Hernández ↔ Dudu
Sport Recife
🔄
72'
Lucas Lima ↔ Gegê
Goias
🔄
72'
Kadu ↔ Esli García
Goias
🔄
80'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Djalma
Goias
🔄
81'
Clayson ↔ Kayky Almeida
Sport Recife
🔄
87'
Pedro Victor Martins ↔ Claudinho
Sport Recife
🔄
87'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Adriel
Sport Recife
🔄
87'
Perotti ↔ Zé Roberto
Sport Recife
88'
Djalma · Assist: Luiz Felipe
Goias
🟨
90+5'
Luiz Felipe
Goias
🟨
90+1'
Anselmo Ramon
Goias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
62.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 37.8%
Draw 24.4%
Sport Recife Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.04
Sport Recife1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
20 GF / 24 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
23 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
7
3.28
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 18 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 18 matches
Goias Statistic Sport Recife
8 Wins 6
4 Draws 9
6 Losses 3
20 Goals For 23
24 Goals Against 17
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
7 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 4
3.28 Shots On Goal 4.44
10.22 Total Shots 14.39
3.89 Corners 5.17
49.2% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Sport Recife's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sport Recife in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sport Recife. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 9 with 25 points after 17 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 18:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), Kadu (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Rodrigo Soares (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife sit 8 with 26 points after 17 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 21:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Chrystian Barletta (5 goals), Perotti (4 goals), C. de Pena (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), Marlon (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 4 times, Sport Recife won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Goias's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.6%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-2-3-1 / Sport Recife 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Goias wins 4, draws 3, Sport Recife wins 2
Stats
Goias Goias
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
482 Total passes 380
438 Passes accurate 324
0.54 expected_goals 0.26
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Goias
Formation
Sport Recife
Thiago Rodrigues
Thiago Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares
Rodrigo Soares
Luiz Felipe
🎯
Luiz Felipe
Luis Fellipe
Luis Fellipe
Nicolas
Nicolas
Juninho
Juninho
Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima
Kadu
Kadu
Cadu
Cadu
Thiago Couto
Thiago Couto
Augusto Pucci
Augusto Pucci
Marcelo Ajul
Marcelo Ajul
Habraão
Habraão
Felipinho
Felipinho
Biel Fonseca
🎯
Biel Fonseca
Zé Gabriel
Zé Gabriel
Pedro Victor Martins
Pedro Victor Martins
Diego Hernández
Diego Hernández
Perotti
Perotti
Clayson
Clayson
Goias 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
2
Rodrigo Soares
↓ 80'
D
3
Luiz Felipe
🎯 88' 🟨 90+5'
D
25
Luis Fellipe
D
6
Nicolas
D
8
Juninho
↓ 46'
M
5
Filipe Machado
M
21
Jean Carlos
↓ 61'
M
10
Lucas Lima
↓ 72'
M
40
Kadu
↓ 72' 🟨 31'
M
18
Cadu
F
Substitutes
97
Lourenço
↑ 46'
M
9
Anselmo Ramon
↑ 61' 🟨 90+1'
F
15
Esli García
↑ 72'
F
28
Gegê
↑ 72'
M
54
Djalma
⚽ 88' ↑ 80'
D
12
Ezequiel Oliveira
G
29
Murilo Camara
D
88
Brayann
M
55
Guilherme Baldória
M
Sport Recife 4-3-3
Starting XI
26
Thiago Couto
G
68
Augusto Pucci
D
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
28
Habraão
D
60
Felipinho
D
6
Biel Fonseca
🎯 22' ↓ 87'
M
23
Zé Gabriel
M
48
Pedro Victor Martins
↓ 87'
M
20
Diego Hernández
↓ 61'
F
9
Perotti
⚽ 22' ↓ 87'
F
25
Clayson
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
77
Dudu
↑ 61'
F
33
Kayky Almeida
↑ 81'
D
27
Claudinho
↑ 87'
D
54
Adriel
↑ 87'
M
99
Zé Roberto
↑ 87'
F
1
Halls
G
73
Caio Moura
D
96
Edson Lucas
D
13
Madson
D
75
Arthur Maron
F
Last matches: Goias
28.08.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
2
1
W
22.08.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
1
L
15.08.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
0
1
L
10.08.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
Last matches: Sport Recife
28.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
2
L
24.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
3
0
W
19.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
1
2
L
14.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
H2H: Goias vs Sport Recife
22.07.26
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
19.09.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
01.06.24
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
3
0
W
26.12.20
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
0
W
06.09.20
H2H
Sport Recife
Goias
2
1
L
10.09.15
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
0
W
05.06.15
H2H
Sport Recife
Goias
1
0
L
23.10.14
H2H
Sport Recife
Goias
0
1
W
20.07.14
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
0
0
D
Last matches: Goias
28.08.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
2
1
W
19.08.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
1
L
10.08.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H at home: Goias
22.07.26
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
01.06.24
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
3
0
W
26.12.20
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
0
W
10.09.15
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
0
W
20.07.14
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
0
0
D
Last matches: Sport Recife
28.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
2
L
19.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
1
2
L
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
H2H away: Sport Recife
22.07.26
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
01.06.24
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
3
0
L
26.12.20
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
0
L
10.09.15
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
1
0
L
20.07.14
H2H
Goias
Sport Recife
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11
Goias Home
24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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