BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: A. Policarpo Bento
Goias
Match Timeline
Juventude
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Aderlan
Juventude
🟨
45+2'
Luisao
Goias
🔄
46'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Goias
🔄
46'
Cadu ↔ Lucas Lima
Goias
🔄
58'
Alisson Safira ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
🔄
58'
MP ↔ Fabio Lima
Juventude
🔄
58'
L. Amarilla ↔ Pablo Roberto
Juventude
🔄
60'
Gege ↔ Wellington Rato
Goias
🔄
65'
Luan Martins ↔ Gabriel Pires
Juventude
🔄
70'
Nicolas ↔ Djalma Silva
Goias
🔄
71'
Kadu ↔ E. Garcia
Goias
🔄
79'
Rai Silva ↔ Lucas Alves
Juventude
88'
Fabio Lima · Assist: Alan Kardec
Juventude

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.8%
1.67
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 32.2%
Draw 20.5%
Juventude Win 47.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias0.82
Juventude1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
22 GF / 27 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
23 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
0.55
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 22 matches
Juventude Juventude 22 matches
Goias Statistic Juventude
9 Wins 11
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 5
22 Goals For 23
27 Goals Against 12
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 0.55
8 BTTS Yes 4
14 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 16
7 Failed To Score 7
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.09
10.91 Total Shots 11.86
4.36 Corners 4.27
51% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Juventude's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventude. Juventude look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juventude in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control.

Goias Analysis

Goias are currently 7 in the standings with 32 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Kadu (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 38 points after 21 matches. The return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 23:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Raí (5 goals), Alisson Safira (2 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), with creative support from Luan Martins Gonçalves (2 assists), Raí (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 3 times, Juventude won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Goias's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-2-3-1 / Juventude 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 3, draws 2, Juventude wins 3
Last matches: Goias
15.08.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
0
1
L
10.08.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
Last matches: Juventude
15.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
H2H: Goias vs Juventude
19.08.26
H2H
Goias
Juventude
0
1
L
11.04.26
H2H
Juventude
Goias
2
0
L
04.11.22
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
0
W
17.07.22
H2H
Juventude
Goias
0
0
D
12.10.18
H2H
Juventude
Goias
3
5
W
22.06.18
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
1
D
17.10.17
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
0
W
27.06.17
H2H
Juventude
Goias
3
0
L
Last matches: Goias
10.08.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H at home: Goias
19.08.26
H2H
Goias
Juventude
0
1
L
04.11.22
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
0
W
22.06.18
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
1
D
17.10.17
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
0
W
Last matches: Juventude
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
H2H away: Juventude
19.08.26
H2H
Goias
Juventude
0
1
W
04.11.22
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
0
L
22.06.18
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
1
D
17.10.17
H2H
Goias
Juventude
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.17
Draw 2.89
Home 2.21
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.79
Draw 1.96
Home 3.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.55
Over 1.75 1.71
Over 2.0 2.01
Over 2.25 2.38
Over 2.5 2.74
Over 3.5 5.37
Under 0.5 6.36
Under 1.5 2.54
Under 1.75 2.20
Under 2.0 1.86
Under 2.25 1.62
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 3.00
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 1.95
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 2.5 2.88
Over 3.5 6.00
Over 4.5 15.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.92
Draw 2.83
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.06
Draw 1.78
Home 2.93
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.34
Draw 2.11
Home 2.52
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.13
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.65
Over 2.0 1.91
Over 2.25 2.22
Over 2.5 2.65
Over 2.75 3.10
Over 3.0 4.25
Over 3.25 4.64
Over 3.5 5.05
Over 3.75 6.87
Over 4.0 8.70
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Under 0.5 5.80
Under 0.75 5.19
Under 1.0 4.55
Under 1.25 2.92
Under 1.5 2.33
Under 1.75 2.04
Under 2.0 1.75
Under 2.25 1.53
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 2.75 1.29
Under 3.0 1.16
Under 3.25 1.12
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 3.75 1.05
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.95
Home 2.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 1.90
Home 3.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.23
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.5 1.52
Over 1.75 1.70
Over 2.0 1.98
Over 2.25 2.33
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 2.75 3.20
Over 3.0 4.35
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Under 0.5 6.40
Under 1.5 2.40
Under 1.75 2.10
Under 2.0 1.79
Under 2.25 1.57
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 2.75 1.32
Under 3.0 1.19
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.01

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 24:14 10 43
W L D W W
2 23 12 6 5 24:12 12 42
W D W W L
3 23 12 4 7 35:25 10 40
W W L L W
4 23 10 7 6 25:21 4 37
D D D W L
5 23 10 5 8 30:31 -1 35
L L L L W
6 23 8 11 4 29:22 7 35
L W W D D
7 22 9 7 6 32:20 12 34
D L W L L
8 22 8 10 4 24:19 5 34
W W D W D
9 22 9 6 7 32:32 0 33
D W W W W
10 23 8 9 6 24:23 1 33
D L D W W
11
Goias Home
23 9 5 9 22:28 -6 32
L L W L D
12 23 7 11 5 20:17 3 32
W W D D L
13 23 8 7 8 32:26 6 31
D L W L L
14 22 8 6 8 27:22 5 30
W W L W D
15 23 8 6 9 27:26 1 30
W D D D W
16 23 7 5 11 25:30 -5 26
W W L L W
17 23 6 7 10 23:29 -6 25
L L W W L
18 23 5 6 12 28:34 -6 21
D L L L L
19 22 2 5 15 16:36 -20 11
L L W L D
20 23 2 4 17 16:48 -32 10
L D L D L
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