BRAZIL SERIE B
05.09.2026 19:00
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: R. Claus
Goias
Match Timeline
Fortaleza EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
12'
Luiz Felipe
Goias
🟥
13'
Luiz Felipe
Goias
🔄
15'
Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida ↔ Ramon Menezes
Goias
🔄
16'
Pierre ↔ Ryan Gustavo de Lima
Fortaleza EC
🟨
40'
Maurício Mucuri
Fortaleza EC
🟨
42'
Tomás Cardona
Fortaleza EC
45'
Vitor Ferreira · Assist: Maurício Mucuri
Fortaleza EC
🔄
45'
Maurício Mucuri ↔ Kaio Henrique
Fortaleza EC
🟨
48'
Luis Fellipe Campos Doria
Goias
🟨
50'
Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza
Fortaleza EC
🔄
59'
Jean Carlos ↔ Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
Goias
🔄
59'
Luis Fellipe Campos Doria ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Goias
🔄
60'
João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço ↔ Wellington Rato
Goias
🔄
70'
Juan Miritello ↔ Rodrigo Oliveira dos Santos
Fortaleza EC
🔄
71'
Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza ↔ Paulo Baya
Fortaleza EC
🔄
73'
Filipe Machado ↔ Geirton Marques Aires
Goias
🟨
78'
Pedro Henrique
Fortaleza EC
🔄
84'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Welliton Silva de Azevedo Matheus
Fortaleza EC
🟨
89'
Marcos Vinicius
Goias
🟨
90+1'
Lucas Rodrigues
Goias

Goias vs Fortaleza EC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds 2.67
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.1%
2.67
BTTS No
55%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.2%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 55.1%
Draw 5.3%
Fortaleza EC Win 39.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias0.95
Fortaleza EC1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
25 GF / 30 GA
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WLDWL
28 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
3.52
Shots on Goal
4.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 25 matches
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 25 matches
Goias Statistic Fortaleza EC
10 Wins 11
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 6
25 Goals For 28
30 Goals Against 22
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
10 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 8
3.52 Shots On Goal 4.28
11.04 Total Shots 14.48
4.16 Corners 5.68
50.4% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fortaleza EC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fortaleza EC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Goias Analysis

Goias are currently 9 in the standings with 36 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 25:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kadu (6 goals), Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 40 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 27:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Vitinho (4 goals), Juan Miritello (3 goals), Maílton (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 2 times, Fortaleza EC won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:19 from Goias's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-2-3-1 / Fortaleza EC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Goias wins 2, draws 2, Fortaleza EC wins 7

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10
Goias Home
29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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