BRAZIL SERIE B
26.09.2026 21:30

Goias vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 34.5%
Draw 20%
Atletico Goianiense Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias0.99
Atletico Goianiense1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
30 GF / 35 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
36 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
12
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
3.69
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 29 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 29 matches
Goias Statistic Atletico Goianiense
12 Wins 12
6 Draws 10
11 Losses 7
30 Goals For 36
35 Goals Against 27
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
12 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 8
3.69 Shots On Goal 4.52
11.69 Total Shots 14.52
4.52 Corners 5.79
51.3% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Atletico Goianiense's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Goianiense.

Goias Analysis

So far, Goias have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 39 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 28:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kadu (6 goals), Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Tadeu (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

So far, Atletico Goianiense have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 46 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, while the 36:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (11 goals), Soares Geovany (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (3 goals), with creative support from Soares Geovany (7 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Guilherme Lopes (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 5 times, Atletico Goianiense won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Goias's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 5, draws 6, Atletico Goianiense wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10
Goias Home
29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
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