FRANCE › LIGUE 3
09.05.2026 17:30
Stade Pele
Gobelins
Match Timeline
Aubagne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
O. Sidibe · Assist: N. Bernardino
Gobelins
⚽
22'
B. El Kaddouri
Aubagne
🟨
24'
B. El Kaddouri
Aubagne
🟨
26'
B. Ecuele Manga
Gobelins
🟨
42'
M. Nehari
Aubagne
🟨
60'
M. Diarra
Gobelins
🔄
66'
N. Bernardino ↔ L. Raillot
Gobelins
🔄
66'
A. Amara ↔ M. Ouadah
Gobelins
🔄
67'
R. Daou ↔ S. Ahamada
Aubagne
🔄
67'
K. Madi ↔ I. Curis
Aubagne
🔄
84'
M. Diarra ↔ O. Drame
Gobelins
🔄
84'
K. Tlili ↔ A. Tafni
Aubagne
🔄
89'
T. Castro ↔ M. Dabo
Gobelins

Gobelins vs Aubagne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 90.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
90.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gobelins Win 10%
Draw 44.8%
Aubagne Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gobelins1.05
Aubagne1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gobelins Gobelins
WWDLW
25 GF / 39 GA
Aubagne Aubagne
WLDWL
34 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
14
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gobelins Gobelins 31 matches
Aubagne Aubagne 31 matches
Gobelins Statistic Aubagne
7 Wins 8
11 Draws 10
13 Losses 13
25 Goals For 34
39 Goals Against 44
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
14 BTTS Yes 19
17 Over 1.5 25
12 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Aubagne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aubagne having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Gobelins Analysis

Gobelins approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 31 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats with a 25:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Fage (4 goals), Y. Lasme (4 goals), A. Zinga (2 goals), with creative support from N. Donat (5 assists), A. Amara (3 assists), T. Castro (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aubagne Analysis

With 33 points from 30 games and a place of 12, Aubagne still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats with a 34:44 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Bentoumi (7 goals), M. Hamek (6 goals), E. Mayilla (5 goals), with creative support from K. Chaban (5 assists), B. El Kaddouri (3 assists), N. Chibani (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Gobelins won 1 times, Aubagne won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Gobelins's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (90.1%)
H2H summary: Gobelins wins 1, draws 3, Aubagne wins 0

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
Promotion
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