Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Gnistan
VPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gnistan
18 matches
VPS
16 matches
| Gnistan | Statistic | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 20 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 1.67 |
| 11.42 | Total Shots | 3.67 |
| 3.58 | Corners | 1.83 |
| 44.7% | Ball Possession | 22.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gnistan expected to line up in 3-4-3 and VPS in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VPS. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gnistan come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Gnistan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 17 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 17:15 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi (5 goals), Joakim Latonen (3 goals), A. Obileye (2 goals), with creative support from Joakim Latonen (3 assists), Roman Eremenko (3 assists), Edmund Arko-Mensah (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
From their first 11 matches, VPS have collected 17 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luka Smyth (7 goals), S. Lindholm (3 goals), J. Muzinga (1 goals), with creative support from Jayden Turfkruier (2 assists), Vilmer Ronnberg (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 4 times, VPS won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Gnistan's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.
Gnistan
3
3
7
2
2
2
Lineups
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Gnistan
Ilves
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
SJK
VPS
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Umeå FC
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
VPS
SJK
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Turku PS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
VPS
Away
|
15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Gnistan
Home
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8:33 | -25 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|