FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
31.08.2026 16:00
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: O. Reitala
Gnistan
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
51'
Bogdan Milovanov
Gnistan
🟨
59'
Abdoulie Tamba
Turku PS
🟨
65'
Pau Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
66'
Saku Ylätupa ↔ Artur Atarah
Gnistan
🔄
71'
Roman Eremenko ↔ Joakim Latonen
Gnistan
🔄
76'
Abdoulie Tamba ↔ Miika Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
76'
Oscar Haggstrom ↔ Nikolas Talo
Turku PS
🔄
82'
Adeleke Akinyemi ↔ Danny Pérez
Gnistan
🔄
82'
Elmer Vauhkonen ↔ Samuel Anini Jr.
Turku PS
🔄
82'
Pau Juvanteny ↔ Lasse Ikonen
Turku PS
84'
Albijon Muzaci · Assist: Nils Veinbergs
Turku PS
90'
Joakim Latonen
Gnistan

Gnistan vs Turku PS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.3%
1.88
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.39
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Gnistan Win 65.3%
Draw 5.2%
Turku PS Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gnistan1.3
Turku PS1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gnistan Gnistan
WWDLW
40 GF / 38 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
31 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
14
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
11
2.7
Shots on Goal
1.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gnistan Gnistan 27 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 26 matches
Gnistan Statistic Turku PS
11 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
10 Losses 9
40 Goals For 31
38 Goals Against 27
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
14 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 6
2.7 Shots On Goal 1.95
7.85 Total Shots 5.35
2.4 Corners 2.3
31.1% Ball Possession 24.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gnistan expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Turku PS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Turku PS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gnistan Analysis

Gnistan come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 35 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 35:28 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Akinyemi (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Turku PS have collected 30 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 27:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 4 times, Turku PS won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:23 from Gnistan's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Gnistan 3-4-2-1 / Turku PS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gnistan wins 4, draws 2, Turku PS wins 8

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)