FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: M. Roth
Gnistan
Match Timeline
SJK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
A. Obileye · Assist: R. Eremenko
Gnistan
43'
O. Tessilimi · Assist: S. Yussif
SJK
52'
Marcelo Costa
Gnistan
🟨
55'
Salim Giabo Yussif
SJK
🟨
56'
Edmund Arko-Mensah
Gnistan
🟨
57'
Roman Eremenko
Gnistan
🔄
60'
A. Akinyemi ↔ D. Perez
Gnistan
60'
G. Europaeus · Assist: R. Eremenko
Gnistan
67'
E. Onuoha · Assist: O. Tessilimi
SJK
🔄
68'
E. Arko-Mensah ↔ J. Ojala
Gnistan
🔄
68'
R. Eremenko ↔ S. Eremenko
Gnistan
🔄
72'
M. Arsalo ↔ Rangel
SJK
🔄
72'
S. Yussif ↔ A. Bostrom
SJK
🔄
78'
A. Wilson ↔ O. Vaisto
SJK
🟨
84'
Aapo Bostrom
SJK
🔄
87'
K. Paananen ↔ E. Mastokangas
SJK
🔄
88'
J. Latonen ↔ A. Atarah
Gnistan
🔄
88'
M. Suso ↔ Mani
SJK
🟨
90+4'
Danny Pérez
Gnistan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gnistan Win 70.1%
Draw 8.5%
SJK Win 21.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gnistan1.1
SJK1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gnistan Gnistan
WWDLW
15 GF / 23 GA
SJK SJK
WLDWL
12 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
3.13
Shots on Goal
1.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gnistan Gnistan 14 matches
SJK SJK 13 matches
Gnistan Statistic SJK
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 5
8 Losses 5
15 Goals For 12
23 Goals Against 15
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
6 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
3.13 Shots On Goal 1.88
8.75 Total Shots 4.75
3.75 Corners 2
43.1% Ball Possession 19.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SJK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gnistan expected to line up in 5-3-2 and SJK in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SJK having the stronger overall control.

Gnistan Analysis

Gnistan are currently 7 in the standings with 8 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 10:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi (5 goals), Joakim Latonen (2 goals), R. Gnanou (1 goals), with creative support from Joakim Latonen (2 assists), Edmund Arko-Mensah (2 assists), A. Craninx (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

SJK Analysis

SJK sit 9 with 6 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:10 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Streng (2 goals), E. Mastokangas (1 goals), K. Paananen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Mastokangas (2 assists), K. Paananen (1 assists), Armaan Wilson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 2 times, SJK won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Gnistan's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Gnistan 5-3-2 / SJK 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gnistan wins 2, draws 1, SJK wins 5
Stats
Gnistan Gnistan
SJK SJK
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 9
14 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
219 Total passes 411
150 Passes accurate 349
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gnistan
Formation
SJK
A. Craninx
A. Craninx
A. Obileye
A. Obileye
Marcelo Costa
Marcelo Costa
R. Gnanou
R. Gnanou
R. Eremenko
🎯
R. Eremenko
G. Europaeus
G. Europaeus
O. Hannula
O. Hannula
E. Arko-Mensah
E. Arko-Mensah
A. Jouhi
A. Jouhi
J. Latonen
J. Latonen
A. Akinyemi
A. Akinyemi
R. Paunio
R. Paunio
S. Yussif
🎯
S. Yussif
S. Yakubu
S. Yakubu
S. Chukwudi
S. Chukwudi
A. Wilson
A. Wilson
E. Onuoha
E. Onuoha
M. Arsalo
M. Arsalo
O. Tessilimi
🎯
O. Tessilimi
K. Paananen
K. Paananen
M. Suso
M. Suso
J. Streng
J. Streng
Gnistan 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
A. Craninx
G
67
A. Obileye
⚽ 4'
D
4
Marcelo Costa
⚽ 52'
F
24
R. Gnanou
D
26
R. Eremenko
🎯 4' 🎯 60' ↓ 68' 🟨 57'
M
15
G. Europaeus
⚽ 60'
M
27
O. Hannula
M
12
E. Arko-Mensah
↓ 68' 🟨 56'
D
31
A. Jouhi
M
10
J. Latonen
↓ 88'
F
17
A. Akinyemi
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
22
Ramilson
G
40
J. Ojala
↑ 68'
D
7
A. Atarah
↑ 88'
M
14
S. Eremenko
↑ 68'
M
11
D. Perez
↑ 60' 🟨 90+4'
F
19
V. Hanninen
M
20
M. H. Bjurstrom
D
50
J. Selenge
M
SJK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Paunio
G
6
S. Yussif
🎯 43' ↓ 72' 🟨 55'
D
32
S. Yakubu
D
28
S. Chukwudi
D
23
A. Wilson
↓ 78'
M
31
E. Onuoha
⚽ 67'
M
18
M. Arsalo
↓ 72'
M
17
O. Tessilimi
⚽ 43' 🎯 67'
F
10
K. Paananen
↓ 87'
M
47
M. Suso
↓ 88'
M
9
J. Streng
F
Substitutes
35
J. Viitala
G
19
E. Mastokangas
↑ 87'
M
37
Mani
↑ 88'
M
99
Rangel
↑ 72'
F
26
J. Moisio
D
5
O. Vaisto
↑ 78'
D
8
A. Bostrom
↑ 72' 🟨 84'
M
21
D. Bulgakov
M
42
Caio Araujo
Last matches: Gnistan
18.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
2
0
W
11.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
2
W
04.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
0
1
L
27.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
3
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
09.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
Turku PS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
11.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
KuPS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
28.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
Kooteepee
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
10.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
07.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
JäPS
1
2
L
Last matches: SJK
18.07.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
0
1
L
04.07.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
3
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
SJK
Lahti
3
2
W
23.05.26
Vei
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
H2H: Gnistan vs SJK
30.05.26
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
14.03.26
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
09.11.25
H2H
SJK
Gnistan
3
0
L
19.10.25
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
3
4
L
20.07.25
H2H
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
2
2
D
26.08.24
H2H
SJK
Gnistan
0
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
0
1
L
Last matches: Gnistan
11.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
2
W
27.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
H2H at home: Gnistan
30.05.26
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
14.03.26
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
19.10.25
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
3
4
L
16.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
0
1
L
Last matches: SJK
10.07.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
0
1
L
27.06.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vei
SJK
Lahti
3
2
W
08.05.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
14.03.26
Fri
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
W
17.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
0
2
L
H2H away: SJK
30.05.26
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
L
14.03.26
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
W
19.10.25
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
3
4
W
16.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
Gnistan
SJK
0
1
W

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 6 1 29:15 14 33
W W W W D
2 16 8 7 1 23:12 11 31
D W D D D
3 16 7 6 3 23:13 10 27
L W W D W
4 16 8 2 6 20:20 0 26
L L D L W
5 16 7 4 5 27:20 7 25
W L L W D
6 16 7 4 5 25:20 5 25
W W L D D
7 16 6 4 6 20:15 5 22
W W W D D
8 16 6 4 6 20:19 1 22
L W L W D
9 16 5 4 7 28:30 -2 19
W L D L W
10
SJK Away
16 3 5 8 18:25 -7 14
L L W D D
11 16 2 6 8 15:32 -17 12
D W L D L
12 16 0 4 12 8:35 -27 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)