Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gnistan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Mariehamn Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gnistan1.44
Mariehamn1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gnistan
WWDLW
22 GF / 25 GA
Mariehamn
WLDWL
11 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
7
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
0.82
Shots on Goal
1.09
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gnistan
17 matches
Mariehamn
15 matches
| Gnistan | Statistic | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 1 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 11 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.73 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0.82 | Shots On Goal | 1.09 |
| 2.36 | Total Shots | 2.55 |
| 1.18 | Corners | 1.09 |
| 14.5% | Ball Possession | 15.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 6 times, Mariehamn won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Gnistan's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gnistan 3-4-3 / Mariehamn 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Gnistan wins 6, draws 4, Mariehamn wins 3
Last matches: Gnistan
17.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
3
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
23.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
09.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
Turku PS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
11.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
KuPS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
28.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
Kooteepee
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
10.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
07.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
JäPS
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Gnistan
Ilves
0
1
L
Last matches: Mariehamn
18.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Lahti
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Ilves
2
2
D
10.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
SJK
0
3
L
04.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Turku PS
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
EIF
3
2
W
21.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
Sandviken
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
KuPS
0
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Mariehamn
Sleipner
1
1
D
H2H: Gnistan vs Mariehamn
13.06.26
H2H
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
W
30.01.26
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
2
D
09.08.25
H2H
Mariehamn
Gnistan
2
5
W
03.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
0
W
15.09.24
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
1
W
21.08.24
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
1
W
26.05.24
H2H
Mariehamn
Gnistan
1
1
D
01.03.24
H2H
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
0
D
29.10.23
H2H
Mariehamn
Gnistan
3
0
L
25.10.23
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
0
0
D
13.03.20
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
3
L
25.04.12
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
1
4
L
Last matches: Gnistan
17.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
16.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
H2H at home: Gnistan
30.01.26
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
2
D
03.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
0
W
15.09.24
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
1
W
21.08.24
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
1
W
25.10.23
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
0
0
D
13.03.20
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
3
L
25.04.12
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
1
4
L
Last matches: Mariehamn
18.06.26
Vei
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
1
2
L
30.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
0
3
L
10.05.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Lahti
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
Mariehamn
SJK
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
Sandviken
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Mariehamn
KuPS
0
2
L
H2H away: Mariehamn
30.01.26
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
2
D
03.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
0
L
08.02.25
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
0
L
15.09.24
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
1
L
21.08.24
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
1
L
25.10.23
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
0
0
D
13.03.20
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
2
3
W
25.04.12
H2H
Gnistan
Mariehamn
1
4
W
Standings
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 |
Gnistan
Home
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Away
|
11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)