Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Gnistan
Lahti
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gnistan
16 matches
Lahti
14 matches
| Gnistan | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 5 |
| 21 | Goals For | 21 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 2.1 |
| 10.7 | Total Shots | 6.5 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 3 |
| 43.5% | Ball Possession | 33% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Lahti's more proactive style and Gnistan's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gnistan expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Lahti in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lahti having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lahti.
So far, Gnistan have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 11 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi (5 goals), Joakim Latonen (2 goals), A. Obileye (1 goals), with creative support from Joakim Latonen (2 assists), Edmund Arko-Mensah (2 assists), Roman Eremenko (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 11 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 12:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Belabid (2 goals), M. Sarr (2 goals), Martim Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (2 assists), R. Sans (2 assists), A. Belabid (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 2 times, Lahti won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Gnistan's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.
Gnistan
4
5
12
11
3
4
Lineups
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Gnistan
Ilves
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Gnistan
Home
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Lahti
Away
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8:33 | -25 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|