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07.10.2026 16:00
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: P. Simani
Gnistan
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Robert Ivanov
Inter Turku
🟨
31'
Adam Jouhi
Gnistan
🟨
31'
Jasse Tuominen
Inter Turku
🔄
32'
Bismark Ampofo ↔ Eeli Kiiskilä
Inter Turku
🔄
62'
Joakim Latonen ↔ Roman Eremenko
Gnistan
🔄
69'
Saku Ylätupa ↔ Danny Pérez
Gnistan
🔄
71'
Seth Saarinen ↔ Julius Tauriainen
Inter Turku
🔄
71'
Clinton Degol Jephta ↔ Lauri Laine
Inter Turku
🔄
79'
Gabriel Europaeus ↔ Sergey Eremenko
Gnistan
🟨
83'
Herman Sjögrell
Inter Turku
🔄
85'
Herman Sjögrell ↔ Muhammed Suso
Inter Turku
🔄
85'
Jasse Tuominen ↔ Jean Botué
Inter Turku

Gnistan vs Inter Turku Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 41.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 77.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
41.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
77.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gnistan Win 41%
Draw 17.3%
Inter Turku Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gnistan1.23
Inter Turku1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gnistan Gnistan
D W D D W
8 GF / 6 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
W W L W L
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
18
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
14
2.6
Shots on Goal
2.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gnistan Gnistan 31 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 37 matches
Gnistan Statistic Inter Turku
12 Wins 18
9 Draws 13
10 Losses 6
45 Goals For 46
42 Goals Against 33
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
18 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 16
7 Failed To Score 9
2.6 Shots On Goal 2.23
7.92 Total Shots 4.48
2.48 Corners 2.13
30% Ball Possession 26.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Turku. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gnistan expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Inter Turku in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Turku having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Gnistan Analysis

Gnistan arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 36 points after 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 36:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Obileye (1 goals), B. Milovanov (1 goals), S. Ylätupa (1 goals), with creative support from E. Arko-Mensah (1 assists), J. Latonen (1 assists), Ruxi (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 42 points after 22 outings. With 11 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Jephta (1 goals), Alie Conteh (1 goals), P. Ahiabu (1 goals), with creative support from A. Granlund (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 2 times, Inter Turku won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Gnistan's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Gnistan 3-4-3 / Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gnistan wins 2, draws 0, Inter Turku wins 3

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
D W L L W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W L W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D W W W D
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L L L D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W W L W L
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D W D
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs