Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
79%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
80.3%
|
- |
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gnistan
8 matches
HJK Helsinki
6 matches
| Gnistan | Statistic | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 6 | Goals For | 10 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 15.5 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 5 |
| 40.5% | Ball Possession | 56.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and Gnistan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. HJK Helsinki carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 3 points while Gnistan sit 12 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring HJK Helsinki. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gnistan expected to line up in 3-4-3 and HJK Helsinki in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HJK Helsinki having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 2 matches, Gnistan have collected 0 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 1:6 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Eremenko (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
HJK Helsinki arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 3 points after 2 matches. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 3:1 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Ezeh (1 goals), T. Mero (1 goals), T. Pukki (1 goals), with creative support from D. Ezeh (1 assists), L. Lingman (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 4 times, HJK Helsinki won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:31 from Gnistan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.62 goals per game.
Gnistan
0
5
6
1
2
3
Lineups
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 29:15 | 14 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
HJK Helsinki
Away
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 6 |
Gnistan
Home
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8:35 | -27 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|