FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: P. Simani
Gnistan
Match Timeline
FF Jaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
L. Zetterstrom ↔ R. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
43'
A. Akinyemi · Assist: J. Latonen
Gnistan
49'
M. Ogungbaro
Gnistan
54'
A. Akinyemi · Assist: E. Arko-Mensah
Gnistan
🔄
55'
A. Vidjeskog ↔ O. Kass Kawo
FF Jaro
🔄
55'
V. Vuorinen ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🟨
58'
Mats Pedersen
FF Jaro
🔄
61'
A. Akinyemi ↔ D. Perez
Gnistan
61'
R. Gnanou · Assist: J. Latonen
Gnistan
🔄
67'
S. Ylatupa ↔ R. Eremenko
Gnistan
🔄
69'
J. Myrevik ↔ A. Bjonback
FF Jaro
🔄
71'
Marcelo Costa ↔ A. Atarah
Gnistan
🔄
71'
E. Arko-Mensah ↔ M. H. Bjurstrom
Gnistan
🟨
78'
Gabriel Europaeus
Gnistan
87'
J. Latonen
Gnistan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
91%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gnistan Win 65.8%
Draw 14.9%
FF Jaro Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gnistan1.04
FF Jaro1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gnistan Gnistan
WWDLW
10 GF / 21 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
10 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
6
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
4
1.5
Shots on Goal
2.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gnistan Gnistan 12 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 11 matches
Gnistan Statistic FF Jaro
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 5
7 Losses 5
10 Goals For 10
21 Goals Against 15
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
6 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
1.5 Shots On Goal 2.17
4.33 Total Shots 5.67
2.17 Corners 2.17
26.7% Ball Possession 31.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gnistan expected to line up in 5-4-1 and FF Jaro in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FF Jaro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Gnistan Analysis

Gnistan sit 10 with 5 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 5:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi (3 goals), Joakim Latonen (1 goals), S. Eremenko (1 goals), with creative support from A. Craninx (1 assists), D. Perez (1 assists), Edmund Arko-Mensah (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FF Jaro Analysis

So far, FF Jaro have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 4 points from 6 matches. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 4:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Sjogrell (2 goals), L. Weckstrom (1 goals), Rudi Vikstrom (1 goals), with creative support from F. O. Ness (1 assists), M. Pedersen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 2 times, FF Jaro won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:23 from Gnistan's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Gnistan 5-4-1 / FF Jaro 4-4-2
H2H summary: Gnistan wins 2, draws 7, FF Jaro wins 6

Lineups

Gnistan
Formation
FF Jaro
A. Craninx
A. Craninx
O. Hannula
O. Hannula
R. Gnanou
R. Gnanou
A. Obileye
A. Obileye
Marcelo Costa
Marcelo Costa
E. Arko-Mensah
🎯
E. Arko-Mensah
S. Ylatupa
S. Ylatupa
A. Jouhi
A. Jouhi
G. Europaeus
G. Europaeus
J. Latonen
🎯
J. Latonen
A. Akinyemi
⚽ 2
A. Akinyemi
S. Vits
S. Vits
J. Myrevik
J. Myrevik
M. Ogungbaro
M. Ogungbaro
E. Gunnarsson
E. Gunnarsson
F. O. Ness
F. O. Ness
H. Sjogrell
H. Sjogrell
J. Skau
J. Skau
M. Pedersen
M. Pedersen
A. Vidjeskog
A. Vidjeskog
V. Vuorinen
V. Vuorinen
L. Zetterstrom
L. Zetterstrom
Gnistan 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
A. Craninx
G
27
O. Hannula
M
24
R. Gnanou
⚽ 61'
D
67
A. Obileye
D
4
Marcelo Costa
↓ 71'
F
12
E. Arko-Mensah
🎯 54' ↓ 71'
D
23
S. Ylatupa
↓ 67'
F
31
A. Jouhi
M
15
G. Europaeus
🟨 78'
M
10
J. Latonen
⚽ 87' 🎯 43' 🎯 61'
F
17
A. Akinyemi
⚽ 43' ⚽ 54' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
22
Ramilson
G
14
R. Eremenko
↑ 67'
7
A. Atarah
↑ 71'
M
11
D. Perez
↑ 61'
F
19
V. Hanninen
M
2
B. Dahlstrom
D
20
M. H. Bjurstrom
↑ 71'
D
FF Jaro 4-5-1
Starting XI
1
S. Vits
G
21
J. Myrevik
↓ 69'
D
4
M. Ogungbaro
⚽ 49'
D
3
E. Gunnarsson
D
19
F. O. Ness
D
11
H. Sjogrell
F
7
J. Skau
M
26
M. Pedersen
🟨 58'
M
16
A. Vidjeskog
↓ 55'
M
91
V. Vuorinen
↓ 55'
M
9
L. Zetterstrom
↓ 19'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Snellman
G
8
O. Kass Kawo
↑ 55'
M
22
K. Harden
M
2
F. Kass
D
5
A. Bjonback
↑ 69'
D
17
L. Nyman
M
15
R. Vikstrom
↑ 19'
F
20
T. Soderstrom
D
27
J. Vikstrom
↑ 55'
F
Last matches: Gnistan
30.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
23.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
L
09.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
Turku PS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
11.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
KuPS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
28.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
Kooteepee
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
10.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
07.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
JäPS
1
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Gnistan
Ilves
0
1
L
Last matches: FF Jaro
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H: Gnistan vs FF Jaro
16.05.26
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
31.08.25
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
2
L
24.05.25
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
19.07.23
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
12.08.22
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
2
2
D
12.06.22
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
2
W
10.10.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
0
1
L
06.06.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
06.09.20
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
2
D
05.07.20
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
2
L
21.10.17
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
12.08.17
H2H
FF Jaro
Gnistan
2
0
L
13.06.17
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
2
3
L
Last matches: Gnistan
30.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
H2H at home: Gnistan
16.05.26
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
31.08.25
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
2
L
20.08.23
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
12.08.22
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
2
2
D
07.08.21
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
0
1
L
05.07.20
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
2
L
21.10.17
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
13.06.17
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
2
3
L
Last matches: FF Jaro
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H away: FF Jaro
16.05.26
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
L
31.08.25
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
2
W
20.08.23
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
12.08.22
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
2
2
D
07.08.21
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
0
1
W
05.07.20
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
2
W
21.10.17
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
13.06.17
H2H
Gnistan
FF Jaro
2
3
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 3 1 17:8 9 24
?
2 10 7 0 3 16:8 8 21
?
3 11 5 5 1 16:10 6 20
?
4 10 4 3 3 13:8 5 15
?
5 9 4 3 2 11:8 3 15
?
6 9 3 4 2 8:7 1 13
?
7 9 3 2 4 12:10 2 11
?
8 9 3 2 4 13:15 -2 11
?
9 10 2 3 5 13:21 -8 9
?
10 10 1 4 5 8:17 -9 7
?
11 9 1 3 5 8:14 -6 6
?
12 9 0 4 5 5:14 -9 4
?