POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion miejski w Katowicach
Referee: P. Malec
GKS Katowice
Match Timeline
Nieciecza
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
A. Kasperkiewicz
GKS Katowice
22'
I. Shkurin
GKS Katowice
🟨
31'
Isik Gabriel
Nieciecza
31'
E. Markovic · Assist: I. Shkurin
GKS Katowice
42'
K. Zapolnik · Assist: I. Strzalek
Nieciecza
🔄
46'
L. Masoero ↔ A. Putivtsev
Nieciecza
🔄
58'
M. Fassbender ↔ R. Kurzawa
Nieciecza
🔄
58'
I. Strzalek ↔ S. Guerrero
Nieciecza
58'
M. Kowalczyk · Assist: E. Markovic
GKS Katowice
64'
E. Markovic · Assist: E. Jirka
GKS Katowice
🔄
65'
E. Jirka ↔ M. Wdowiak
GKS Katowice
🔄
66'
M. Kowalczyk ↔ D. Rasak
GKS Katowice
🔄
67'
J. Jimenez ↔ I. Durdov
Nieciecza
🔄
76'
E. Markovic ↔ M. Wedrychowski
GKS Katowice
🔄
76'
I. Shkurin ↔ J. Kokosinski
GKS Katowice
🔄
81'
S. Milewski ↔ A. Blad
GKS Katowice
🔄
84'
M. Ambrosiewicz ↔ A. Trubeha
Nieciecza
VAR
90'
Andrzej Trubeha
Nieciecza

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
GKS Katowice Win 88.3%
Draw 0%
Nieciecza Win 11.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
GKS Katowice1.59
Nieciecza1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WWDLW
43 GF / 41 GA
Nieciecza Nieciecza
WLDWL
36 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
14
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
16
4.83
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 30 matches
Nieciecza Nieciecza 30 matches
GKS Katowice Statistic Nieciecza
13 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
12 Losses 16
43 Goals For 36
41 Goals Against 55
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
14 BTTS Yes 21
22 Over 1.5 26
15 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 6
4.83 Shots On Goal 4.33
13.13 Total Shots 12.73
4.83 Corners 4.3
46.8% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around GKS Katowice's more proactive style and Nieciecza's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. GKS Katowice arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 44 points compared to Nieciecza in 18 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Nieciecza arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nieciecza.

GKS Katowice Analysis

From their first 30 matches, GKS Katowice have collected 44 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 43:41 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Nowak (8 goals), Arkadiusz Jędrych (7 goals), L. Klemenz (7 goals), with creative support from B. Nowak (11 assists), A. Czerwinski (5 assists), Marcin Wasielewski (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Nieciecza Analysis

Nieciecza approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 28 points from 30 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 36:55, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Jimenez (5 goals), K. Kubica (5 goals), Damian Hilbrycht (4 goals), with creative support from Damian Hilbrycht (3 assists), Sergio Guerrero (2 assists), M. Ambrosiewicz (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, GKS Katowice won 3 times, Nieciecza won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from GKS Katowice's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: GKS Katowice 3-4-3 / Nieciecza 3-4-3
H2H summary: GKS Katowice wins 3, draws 5, Nieciecza wins 2
Stats
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
Nieciecza Nieciecza
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
9
3 Corner Kicks 9
10 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked Shots 9
9 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
298 Total passes 389
225 Passes accurate 304
1.64 expected_goals 1.35
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

GKS Katowice
Formation
Nieciecza
D. Kudla
D. Kudla
A. Czerwinski
A. Czerwinski
A. Jedrych
A. Jedrych
L. Klemenz
L. Klemenz
E. Jirka
🎯
E. Jirka
S. Milewski
S. Milewski
M. Kowalczyk
M. Kowalczyk
M. Wasielewski
M. Wasielewski
E. Markovic
⚽ 2 🎯
E. Markovic
I. Shkurin
🎯
I. Shkurin
B. Nowak
B. Nowak
A. Chovan
A. Chovan
G. Isik
G. Isik
L. Masoero
L. Masoero
A. Kasperkiewicz
A. Kasperkiewicz
R. Boboc
R. Boboc
M. Ambrosiewicz
M. Ambrosiewicz
I. Strzalek
🎯
I. Strzalek
D. Hilbrycht
D. Hilbrycht
M. Fassbender
M. Fassbender
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
K. Zapolnik
K. Zapolnik
GKS Katowice 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
D. Kudla
G
30
A. Czerwinski
D
4
A. Jedrych
D
6
L. Klemenz
D
97
E. Jirka
🎯 64' ↓ 65'
M
22
S. Milewski
↓ 81'
M
77
M. Kowalczyk
⚽ 58' ↓ 66'
M
23
M. Wasielewski
M
15
E. Markovic
⚽ 31' ⚽ 64' 🎯 58' ↓ 76'
F
80
I. Shkurin
⚽ 22' 🎯 31' ↓ 76'
F
27
B. Nowak
F
Substitutes
34
W. Pankowski
G
2
M. Kuusk
D
16
G. Rogala
D
10
M. Wedrychowski
↑ 76'
M
24
K. Gruszkowski
D
21
J. Kokosinski
↑ 76'
F
11
A. Blad
↑ 81'
M
26
D. Rasak
↑ 66'
M
70
M. Wdowiak
↑ 65'
M
14
M. Olsen
19
K. Lukasiak
M
Nieciecza 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
A. Chovan
G
29
G. Isik
🟨 31'
D
5
L. Masoero
↓ 46'
D
3
A. Kasperkiewicz
⚽ 18'
D
27
R. Boboc
M
28
M. Ambrosiewicz
↓ 84'
M
86
I. Strzalek
🎯 42' ↓ 58'
M
21
D. Hilbrycht
M
7
M. Fassbender
↓ 58'
F
9
J. Jimenez
↓ 67'
F
25
K. Zapolnik
⚽ 42'
F
Substitutes
99
M. Mleczko
G
8
R. Kurzawa
↑ 58'
M
53
A. Trubeha
↑ 84'
F
26
W. Jakubik
M
23
S. Guerrero
↑ 58'
M
77
A. Putivtsev
↑ 46'
D
6
M. Wolski
D
19
I. Durdov
↑ 67'
F
17
D. Biniek
M
Last matches: GKS Katowice
23.07.26
UEF
GKS Katowice
Žilina
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Stal Rzeszów
3
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Miedz Legnica
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
28.06.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Świt Skolwin
7
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
17.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
10.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
0
D
25.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
17.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
12.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
21.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
17.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
14.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
08.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
28.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
3
1
W
22.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
Last matches: Nieciecza
18.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Podbeskidzie
1
1
D
17.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Puszcza Niepołomice
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Resovia Rzeszów
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Wisla Krakow
4
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Unia Tarnow
5
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
W
18.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
3
2
W
10.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
24.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
L
11.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
13.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
07.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
21.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
16.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
H2H: GKS Katowice vs Nieciecza
03.05.26
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
5
1
W
31.10.25
H2H
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
0
3
W
24.09.24
H2H
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
1
2
W
21.04.24
H2H
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
2
2
D
08.10.23
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
0
0
D
12.02.23
H2H
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
3
3
D
27.10.21
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
1
2
L
20.04.19
H2H
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
29.09.18
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
1
2
L
Last matches: GKS Katowice
16.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Stal Rzeszów
3
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Miedz Legnica
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
28.06.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Świt Skolwin
7
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
17.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
04.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
28.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Podbeskidzie
1
4
L
13.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
08.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
TSC Backa Topola
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Atert Bissen
2
0
W
11.01.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Petrolul Ploiesti
3
0
W
29.11.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
08.11.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
1
3
L
25.10.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
H2H at home: GKS Katowice
03.05.26
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
5
1
W
08.10.23
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
0
0
D
24.07.22
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
3
3
D
27.10.21
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
1
2
L
29.09.18
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
1
2
L
Last matches: Nieciecza
17.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Puszcza Niepołomice
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Wisla Krakow
4
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Unia Tarnow
5
0
W
18.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
3
2
W
24.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
W
11.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
22.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
07.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
1
2
L
21.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
13.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
IMT Novi Beograd
3
1
W
29.11.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
1
5
L
09.11.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
2
1
W
20.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
L
27.09.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
2
4
L
14.09.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
22.08.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
08.08.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
H2H away: Nieciecza
03.05.26
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
5
1
L
08.10.23
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
0
0
D
24.07.22
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
3
3
D
27.10.21
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
1
2
W
29.09.18
H2H
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
1
2
W

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation