04.10.2026 19:00
Estadi Montilivi
Referee: Eder Mallo Fernandez
Girona
Match Timeline
Mallorca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Antonio Sánchez
Mallorca
🟨
32'
Alberto Moreno
Mallorca
🔄
45'
Alberto Moreno ↔ Antonio Latorre Grueso
Mallorca
🟨
52'
Pablo Torre
Mallorca
🔄
57'
Arnau Puigmal ↔ Josep Cerda
Mallorca
🔄
58'
Adam Buksa ↔ Adrian Liso
Mallorca
🔄
58'
Pablo Torre ↔ Sergi Darder
Mallorca
🟨
63'
Izan González
Girona
🔄
66'
Iván Morante ↔ Fran Beltran
Girona
🔄
66'
Abel Ruíz ↔ Oleksandr Pyshchur
Girona
🔄
72'
Donny van de Beek ↔ Bryan Gil
Girona
🔄
72'
Javi Sarasa ↔ Unai Hernández
Girona
🔄
85'
Alex Sala ↔ Guille Fernández
Mallorca
🔄
85'
David López Silva ↔ Abdul Mumin
Girona
🟨
87'
Adrian Fuentes
Mallorca

Girona vs Mallorca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63%
Odds 2.52
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63%
2.52 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.00 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.2%
1.34 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Girona Win 63%
Draw 13.8%
Mallorca Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Girona1.33
Mallorca1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Girona Girona
WWDLW
24 GF / 20 GA
Mallorca Mallorca
WLDWL
19 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.55
10
BTTS Yes
2
8
Over 2.5
4
5.14
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Girona Girona 13 matches
Mallorca Mallorca 11 matches
Girona Statistic Mallorca
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 2
24 Goals For 19
20 Goals Against 6
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.55
10 BTTS Yes 2
12 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 3
5.14 Shots On Goal 4.14
15 Total Shots 12.71
3.86 Corners 3.86
49.7% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Girona expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mallorca in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mallorca having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Girona come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mallorca.

Girona Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 13 points from 7 games, Girona bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 14:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Y. Asprilla (3 goals), Abel Ruiz (2 goals), Carles Pérez (2 goals), with creative support from Álex Moreno (2 assists), Abel Ruiz (1 assists), Carles Pérez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Mallorca Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 6 games, Mallorca bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Fuentes (4 goals), Álex Sala (1 goals), A. Buksa (1 goals), with creative support from Álex Sala (1 assists), Arnau Tenas (1 assists), Zito Luvumbo (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Girona won 5 times, Mallorca won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Girona's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: Girona 4-2-3-1 / Mallorca 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Girona wins 5, draws 1, Mallorca wins 7

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 7 6 1 0 14:2 12 19
W W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
5 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
W W L W W
6 7 4 1 2 8:3 5 13
L W W D W
7 7 3 3 1 8:6 2 12
D W L W W
8 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 8:9 -1 11
D L W D L
10 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
11 7 3 1 3 10:11 -1 10
L L W D L
12 7 3 1 3 5:6 -1 10
L W L L W
13 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
L L D L W
14 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
L L W D D
15 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
16 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D L L W L
17 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
W D L W D
18 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
19 7 2 0 5 12:15 -3 6
W L L L L
20 7 2 0 5 10:16 -6 6
L W L L L
21 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
W D L L L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation