SPAIN LA LIGA
01.05.2026 19:00
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Referee: F. Maeso
Girona
Match Timeline
Mallorca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
Samu Costa · Assist: J. Mojica
Mallorca
🟨
45+1'
Viktor Tsygankov
Girona
🔄
46'
J. Kalumba ↔ J. Virgili
Mallorca
🟨
58'
Pablo Maffeo
Mallorca
🟨
64'
Vitor Reis
Girona
🔄
66'
P. Torre ↔ Z. Luvumbo
Mallorca
🔄
70'
C. Echeverri ↔ C. Stuani
Girona
🔄
70'
J. Roca ↔ B. Gil
Girona
🔄
71'
↔ A. Sanchez
Mallorca
🔄
74'
F. Beltran ↔ T. Lemar
Girona
🔄
74'
D. Blind ↔ H. Rincon
Girona
🔄
78'
M. Morlanes ↔ J. Llabres
Mallorca
🔄
79'
S. Darder ↔ D. Lopez
Mallorca
🟨
82'
Johan Mojica
Mallorca
🟨
90+5'
Bryan Gil
Girona
🟨
90+4'
Thomas Lemar
Girona

Girona vs Mallorca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
37.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Girona Win 80.3%
Draw 7.4%
Mallorca Win 12.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Girona1.28
Mallorca1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Girona Girona
WWDLW
40 GF / 54 GA
Mallorca Mallorca
WLDWL
46 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
22
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
23
3.74
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Girona Girona 35 matches
Mallorca Mallorca 36 matches
Girona Statistic Mallorca
10 Wins 11
11 Draws 8
14 Losses 17
40 Goals For 46
54 Goals Against 54
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
22 BTTS Yes 23
29 Over 1.5 30
19 Over 2.5 23
7 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 9
3.74 Shots On Goal 4.03
10.2 Total Shots 10.63
3.94 Corners 3.63
49.1% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Girona have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Girona expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mallorca in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mallorca having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mallorca. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Girona Analysis

Girona sit 15 with 38 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 36:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through V. Vanat (9 goals), V. Tsygankov (6 goals), Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Tsygankov (4 assists), Bryan Gil (3 assists), Álex Moreno (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Juan Carlos, Portu, M. ter Stegen, A. Moreno unavailable.

Mallorca Analysis

With 35 points from 33 games and a place of 17, Mallorca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 41:51, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vedat Muriqi (21 goals), Samú Costa (6 goals), Pablo Torre (3 goals), with creative support from S. Darder (5 assists), J. Virgili (4 assists), Pablo Torre (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Salas, L. Bergstrom, M. Kumbulla unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Girona won 5 times, Mallorca won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Girona's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Girona 4-2-3-1 / Mallorca 4-3-1-2
Missing players: Girona 7, Mallorca 6
H2H summary: Girona wins 5, draws 1, Mallorca wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2