12.09.2026 16:30
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Girona vs Castellón Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.3%
Odds 3.13
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.3%
3.13
BTTS Yes
67.4%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.43
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Girona Win 35.9%
Draw 15.8%
Castellón Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Girona1.58
Castellón1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Girona Girona
WWDLW
19 GF / 17 GA
Castellón Castellón
WLDWL
13 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
8
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
5
5.25
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Girona Girona 10 matches
Castellón Castellón 10 matches
Girona Statistic Castellón
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
19 Goals For 13
17 Goals Against 11
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
8 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 3
5.25 Shots On Goal 4.5
16 Total Shots 15
4 Corners 5.75
52% Ball Possession 62.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Girona won 2 times, Castellón won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Girona's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
Predicted formations: Girona 4-4-2 / Castellón 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Girona wins 2, draws 1, Castellón wins 0

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 5:1 4 10
W W D W
2 4 3 0 1 6:3 3 9
W W W L
3 4 2 2 0 4:2 2 8
W W D D
4 4 2 2 0 3:1 2 8
D W W D
5 4 2 1 1 9:5 4 7
W W L D
6 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
W L W D
7 4 2 1 1 5:2 3 7
D W L W
8 4 2 1 1 5:3 2 7
D L W W
9 4 2 1 1 5:4 1 7
L W W D
10 4 2 1 1 6:6 0 7
D L W W
11 4 2 1 1 2:2 0 7
L W W D
12 4 2 0 2 6:4 2 6
W L L W
13 4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
D D L W
14 4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
D D W L
15 4 1 2 1 1:1 0 5
D W L D
16 4 1 1 2 2:4 -2 4
W D L L
17 4 1 0 3 7:7 0 3
L L L W
18 4 0 3 1 5:6 -1 3
L D D D
19 4 1 0 3 7:10 -3 3
L L W L
20 4 0 2 2 2:6 -4 2
D L D L
21 4 0 0 4 2:7 -5 0
L L L L
22 4 0 0 4 1:12 -11 0
L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation