ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
27.09.2026 21:00
Estadio El Gigante del Norte

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico DE Rafaela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia Y Tiro Win 80.1%
Draw 6.4%
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 13.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia Y Tiro0.98
Atletico DE Rafaela0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
WWDLW
31 GF / 28 GA
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WLDWL
25 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
14
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 31 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 31 matches
Gimnasia Y Tiro Statistic Atletico DE Rafaela
12 Wins 11
10 Draws 9
9 Losses 11
31 Goals For 25
28 Goals Against 29
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
14 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Gimnasia Y Tiro's more proactive style and Atletico DE Rafaela's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Atletico DE Rafaela. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico DE Rafaela having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis

Gimnasia Y Tiro arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 45 points after 29 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 31:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

So far, Atletico DE Rafaela have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 42 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 25:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia Y Tiro won 1 times, Atletico DE Rafaela won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Gimnasia Y Tiro's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia Y Tiro - / Atletico DE Rafaela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 1, draws 1, Atletico DE Rafaela wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 29 11 9 9 31:27 4 42
D L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
10 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation