03.05.2026 19:00
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Referee: J. Pafundi
Gimnasia L.P.
Match Timeline
Argentinos JRS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
M. Torres · Assist: A. Auzmendi
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
39'
Federico Fattori
Argentinos JRS
🟨
40'
Alexis Steimbach
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
40'
Nicolas Oroz
Argentinos JRS
🟨
41'
Francisco Álvarez
Argentinos JRS
🟨
42'
Nicolas Schelotto
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
56'
Alan Lescano
Argentinos JRS
🟨
57'
Sebastián Prieto
Argentinos JRS
59'
N. Fernandez · Assist: A. Auzmendi
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
62'
N. Oroz ↔ L. Gomez
Argentinos JRS
🔄
62'
A. Lescano ↔ H. Lopez
Argentinos JRS
🔄
71'
F. Fattori ↔ L. Giaccone
Argentinos JRS
🔄
71'
I. Morales ↔ G. Florentin
Argentinos JRS
🔄
72'
M. Torres ↔ M. Panaro
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
72'
N. Schelotto ↔ F. Torres
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
78'
S. Prieto ↔ D. Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🟨
80'
Nacho Fernández
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
85'
Diego Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
86'
A. Auzmendi ↔ P. Aguiar
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
90+2'
N. Fernandez ↔ L. Castro
Gimnasia L.P.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia L.P. Win 26.9%
Draw 3.6%
Argentinos JRS Win 69.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia L.P.1.13
Argentinos JRS1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
WWDLW
24 GF / 20 GA
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
WLDWL
19 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
8
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
5
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 17 matches
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 18 matches
Gimnasia L.P. Statistic Argentinos JRS
9 Wins 9
2 Draws 6
6 Losses 3
24 Goals For 19
20 Goals Against 13
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 9
10 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 4
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.71
11.07 Total Shots 13.06
4.27 Corners 5.24
48.3% Ball Possession 63.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Argentinos JRS. Argentinos JRS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 142 points while Gimnasia L.P. sit 19 on 109, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Argentinos JRS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gimnasia L.P. expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Argentinos JRS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Argentinos JRS having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gimnasia L.P. Analysis

Gimnasia L.P. sit 19 with 109 points after 88 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a 0:0 goal balance points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Torres (5 goals), N. Schelotto (4 goals), Enzo Martínez (3 goals), with creative support from Alexis Steimbach (4 assists), Nacho Fernández (2 assists), M. Torres (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 142 points from 88 games, Argentinos JRS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With - wins, - draws, and - defeats plus a goal balance of 0:0, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by T. Molina (3 goals), Alan Lescano (2 goals), H. Lopez (2 goals), with creative support from H. Lopez (2 assists), N. Oroz (2 assists), S. Prieto (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia L.P. won 6 times, Argentinos JRS won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Gimnasia L.P.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2 / Argentinos JRS 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gimnasia L.P. wins 6, draws 2, Argentinos JRS wins 5

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase